Pew Research Center

FOR RELEASE JANUARY 27, 2011

Table: Muslim Population Growth by Country

.footnotes p{ color: #58585B;font-size: 1.2em !important; } td{ padding: 8px 5px !important; } Tables: Muslim Population by Country | Muslim Population Growth by Country Country Estimated 1990 Muslim Population Percentage Increase in Muslim Population from 1990-2010 Estimated 2010 Muslim Population Projected Percentage Increase in Muslim Population from 2010-2030* Projected 2030 Muslim Population* Afghanistan 12,551,000 131.4% […]

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Table: Muslim Population Growth by Country

.footnotes p{ color: #58585B;font-size: 1.2em !important; } td{ padding: 8px 5px !important; } Tables: Muslim Population by Country | Muslim Population Growth by Country Country Estimated 1990 Muslim Population Percentage Increase in Muslim Population from 1990-2010 Estimated 2010 Muslim Population Projected Percentage Increase in Muslim Population from 2010-2030* Projected 2030 Muslim Population* Afghanistan 12,551,000 131.4% […]

.footnotes p{ color: #58585B;font-size: 1.2em !important; } td{ padding: 8px 5px !important; }

Tables: Muslim Population by Country | Muslim Population Growth by Country

Country Estimated 1990 Muslim Population Percentage Increase in Muslim Population from 1990-2010 Estimated 2010 Muslim Population Projected Percentage Increase in Muslim Population from 2010-2030* Projected 2030 Muslim Population*
Afghanistan 12,551,000 131.4% 29,047,000 73.9% 50,527,000
Albania 2,302,000 13.0% 2,601,000 9.2% 2,841,000
Algeria 24,860,000 39.9% 34,780,000 26.3% 43,915,000
American Samoa < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000
Andorra < 1,000 0.0% 1,000 0.0% 1,000
Angola 40,000 ^ 195,000 60.0% 312,000
Anguilla < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000
Antigua and Barbuda < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000
Argentina 444,000 125.2% 1,000,000 23.3% 1,233,000
Armenia 128,000 -99.2% 1,000 0.0% 1,000
Aruba < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000
Australia 154,000 159.1% 399,000 78.9% 714,000
Austria 161,000 195.0% 475,000 68.2% 799,000
Azerbaijan 5,635,000 56.1% 8,795,000 15.5% 10,162,000
Bahamas < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000
Bahrain 403,000 62.5% 655,000 34.5% 881,000
Bangladesh 102,103,000 45.5% 148,607,000 26.2% 187,506,000
Barbados < 1,000 100.0% 2,000 0.0% 2,000
Belarus 10,000 90.0% 19,000 -10.5% 17,000
Belgium 266,000 139.8% 638,000 80.1% 1,149,000
Belize < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000
Benin 982,000 130.0% 2,259,000 67.2% 3,777,000
Bermuda < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000
Bhutan 6,000 16.7% 7,000 28.6% 9,000
Bolivia 1,000 100.0% 2,000 50.0% 3,000
Bosnia-Herzegovina 1,843,000 -15.1% 1,564,000 -3.9% 1,503,000
Botswana 3,000 166.7% 8,000 25.0% 10,000
Brazil 145,000 40.7% 204,000 11.3% 227,000
British Virgin Islands < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000
Brunei 173,000 22.0% 211,000 34.6% 284,000
Bulgaria 1,155,000 -13.2% 1,002,000 1.4% 1,016,000
Burkina Faso 4,807,000 99.7% 9,600,000 71.7% 16,480,000
Burma (Myanmar) 654,000 190.5% 1,900,000 17.5% 2,233,000
Burundi 90,000 104.4% 184,000 40.2% 258,000
Cambodia 233,000 3.0% 240,000 33.3% 320,000
Cameroon 2,691,000 33.7% 3,598,000 52.3% 5,481,000
Canada 313,000 200.3% 940,000 183.1% 2,661,000
Cape Verde 7,000 -85.7% < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000
Cayman Islands < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000
Central African Republic 234,000 72.2% 403,000 36.5% 550,000
Chad 3,291,000 94.6% 6,404,000 57.5% 10,086,000
Channel Islands < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000
Chile < 1,000 300.0% 4,000 25.0% 5,000
China 16,839,000 38.4% 23,308,000 28.5% 29,949,000
Colombia 119,000 ^ 14,000 21.4% 17,000
Comoros 431,000 57.5% 679,000 41.2% 959,000
Congo 473,000 104.9% 969,000 60.2% 1,552,000
Cook Islands < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000
Costa Rica < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000
Croatia 52,000 7.7% 56,000 -3.6% 54,000
Cuba 6,000 66.7% 10,000 0.0% 10,000
Cyprus 2,000 ^ 200,000 20.0% 240,000
Czech Republic 1,000 300.0% 4,000 0.0% 4,000
Denmark 109,000 107.3% 226,000 40.3% 317,000
Djibouti 504,000 69.2% 853,000 35.6% 1,157,000
Dominica < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000
Dominican Republic 1,000 100.0% 2,000 50.0% 3,000
Ecuador 1,000 100.0% 2,000 0.0% 2,000
Egypt 53,884,000 48.5% 80,024,000 31.3% 105,065,000
El Salvador 1,000 100.0% 2,000 0.0% 2,000
Equatorial Guinea 11,000 154.5% 28,000 53.6% 43,000
Eritrea 1,219,000 56.6% 1,909,000 54.8% 2,955,000
Estonia 9,000 -77.8% 2,000 0.0% 2,000
Ethiopia 15,827,000 81.5% 28,721,000 54.8% 44,466,000
Faeroe Islands < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000
Falkland Islands (Malvinas) < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000
Federated States of Micronesia < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000
Fiji 58,000 -6.9% 54,000 7.4% 58,000
Finland 11,000 281.8% 42,000 150.0% 105,000
France 568,000 ^ 4,704,000 45.8% 6,860,000
French Guiana 1,000 100.0% 2,000 50.0% 3,000
French Polynesia < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000
Gabon 31,000 ^ 145,000 68.3% 244,000
Gambia 780,000 114.0% 1,669,000 56.2% 2,607,000
Georgia 625,000 ^ 442,000 -2.0% 433,000
Germany 2,506,000 64.4% 4,119,000 34.6% 5,545,000
Ghana 2,245,000 74.0% 3,906,000 62.6% 6,350,000
Gibraltar 2,000 -50.0% 1,000 0.0% 1,000
Greece 254,000 107.5% 527,000 46.5% 772,000
Greenland < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000
Grenada < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000
Guadeloupe 3,000 -33.3% 2,000 0.0% 2,000
Guam < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000
Guatemala < 1,000 0.0% 1,000 100.0% 2,000
Guinea 4,241,000 105.0% 8,693,000 63.7% 14,227,000
Guinea Bissau 388,000 81.7% 705,000 53.9% 1,085,000
Guyana 67,000 -17.9% 55,000 -7.3% 51,000
Haiti 2,000 0.0% 2,000 50.0% 3,000
Honduras 6,000 83.3% 11,000 36.4% 15,000
Hong Kong 57,000 59.6% 91,000 15.4% 105,000
Hungary 17,000 47.1% 25,000 -4.0% 24,000
Iceland < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000
India 100,873,000 75.8% 177,286,000 33.2% 236,182,000
Indonesia 154,680,000 32.4% 204,847,000 16.6% 238,833,000
Iran 56,506,000 32.4% 74,819,000 19.8% 89,626,000
Iraq 17,356,000 79.2% 31,108,000 55.4% 48,350,000
Ireland 15,000 186.7% 43,000 190.7% 125,000
Isle of Man < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000
Israel 634,000 103.0% 1,287,000 65.9% 2,135,000
Italy 858,000 84.5% 1,583,000 102.1% 3,199,000
Ivory Coast 4,880,000 63.1% 7,960,000 63.0% 12,977,000
Jamaica 3,000 -66.7% 1,000 0.0% 1,000
Japan 118,000 56.8% 185,000 -7.6% 171,000
Jordan 3,149,000 103.1% 6,397,000 33.1% 8,516,000
Kazakhstan 8,391,000 5.9% 8,887,000 9.5% 9,728,000
Kenya 1,406,000 104.0% 2,868,000 91.2% 5,485,000
Kiribati < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000
Kosovo 1,955,000 7.6% 2,104,000 -0.2% 2,100,000
Kuwait 1,966,000 34.1% 2,636,000 40.1% 3,692,000
Kyrgyzstan 2,449,000 101.2% 4,927,000 24.6% 6,140,000
Laos 1,000 0.0% 1,000 100.0% 2,000
Latvia 3,000 -33.3% 2,000 0.0% 2,000
Lebanon 1,784,000 42.5% 2,542,000 14.2% 2,902,000
Lesotho < 1,000 0.0% 1,000 0.0% 1,000
Liberia 312,000 67.6% 523,000 57.7% 825,000
Libya 4,278,000 47.8% 6,325,000 30.2% 8,232,000
Liechtenstein < 1,000 100.0% 2,000 0.0% 2,000
Lithuania 7,000 -57.1% 3,000 -33.3% 2,000
Luxembourg 3,000 266.7% 11,000 27.3% 14,000
Macau < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000
Madagascar 106,000 107.5% 220,000 40.5% 309,000
Malawi 1,512,000 33.0% 2,011,000 65.4% 3,326,000
Malaysia 8,870,000 93.2% 17,139,000 32.7% 22,752,000
Maldives 216,000 43.1% 309,000 28.2% 396,000
Mali 8,104,000 52.0% 12,316,000 53.0% 18,840,000
Malta < 1,000 0.0% 1,000 0.0% 1,000
Marshall Islands < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000
Martinique < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000
Mauritania 1,968,000 69.6% 3,338,000 42.3% 4,750,000
Mauritius 172,000 25.6% 216,000 9.3% 236,000
Mayotte 90,000 118.9% 197,000 51.3% 298,000
Mexico 60,000 85.0% 111,000 13.5% 126,000
Moldova 4,000 275.0% 15,000 -13.3% 13,000
Monaco < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000
Mongolia 211,000 ^ 120,000 20.0% 144,000
Montenegro 94,000 23.4% 116,000 17.2% 136,000
Montserrat < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000
Morocco 24,560,000 31.8% 32,381,000 21.2% 39,259,000
Mozambique 1,761,000 ^ 5,340,000 44.8% 7,733,000
Namibia 4,000 125.0% 9,000 50.0% 12,000
Nauru < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000
Nepal 688,000 82.1% 1,253,000 36.1% 1,705,000
Netherlands 344,000 165.7% 914,000 49.3% 1,365,000
Netherlands Antilles < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000 0.0% 1,000
New Caledonia 6,000 16.7% 7,000 28.6% 9,000
New Zealand 7,000 485.7% 41,000 146.3% 101,000
Nicaragua < 1,000 0.0% 1,000 0.0% 1,000
Niger 7,801,000 100.3% 15,627,000 104.9% 32,022,000
Nigeria 46,302,000 63.6% 75,728,000 54.3% 116,832,000
Niue < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000
North Korea 1,000 200.0% 3,000 0.0% 3,000
Northern Mariana Islands < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000
Norway 54,000 166.7% 144,000 149.3% 359,000
Oman 1,616,000 57.6% 2,547,000 39.3% 3,549,000
Pakistan 112,303,000 58.6% 178,097,000 43.8% 256,117,000
Palau < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000
Palestinian territories 2,111,000 103.6% 4,298,000 66.0% 7,136,000
Panama 109,000 ^ 25,000 28.0% 32,000
Papua New Guinea 1,000 100.0% 2,000 50.0% 3,000
Paraguay < 1,000 0.0% 1,000 100.0% 2,000
Peru < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000
Philippines 2,872,000 64.9% 4,737,000 49.8% 7,094,000
Pitcairn Islands < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000
Poland 6,000 233.3% 20,000 -5.0% 19,000
Portugal 10,000 550.0% 65,000 0.0% 65,000
Puerto Rico 1,000 0.0% < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000
Qatar 423,000 176.1% 1,168,000 29.4% 1,511,000
Republic of Congo 26,000 130.8% 60,000 46.7% 88,000
Republic of Macedonia 441,000 61.7% 713,000 13.9% 812,000
Reunion 14,000 150.0% 35,000 20.0% 42,000
Romania 46,000 58.7% 73,000 0.0% 73,000
Russia 13,634,000 20.1% 16,379,000 13.3% 18,556,000
Rwanda 170,000 10.6% 188,000 93.1% 363,000
Samoa < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000
San Marino < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000
Sao Tome and Principe < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000
Saudi Arabia 16,096,000 58.4% 25,493,000 39.2% 35,497,000
Senegal 7,086,000 74.0% 12,333,000 51.9% 18,739,000
Serbia 412,000 -32.0% 280,000 34.6% 377,000
Seychelles < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000
Sierra Leone 2,042,000 104.3% 4,171,000 56.5% 6,527,000
Singapore 464,000 55.4% 721,000 12.8% 813,000
Slovakia < 1,000 300.0% 4,000 0.0% 4,000
Slovenia 29,000 69.0% 49,000 0.0% 49,000
Solomon Islands < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000
Somalia 6,530,000 41.4% 9,231,000 68.2% 15,529,000
South Africa 525,000 40.4% 737,000 8.4% 799,000
South Korea 43,000 74.4% 75,000 1.3% 76,000
Spain 271,000 276.8% 1,021,000 82.1% 1,859,000
Sri Lanka 1,383,000 24.7% 1,725,000 8.8% 1,876,000
St. Helena < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000
St. Kitts and Nevis < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000
St. Lucia < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000
St. Pierre and Miquelon < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000
St. Vincent and the Grenadines 1,000 100.0% 2,000 0.0% 2,000
Sudan 19,506,000 58.2% 30,855,000 41.2% 43,573,000
Suriname 57,000 47.4% 84,000 14.3% 96,000
Swaziland 4,000 -50.0% 2,000 0.0% 2,000
Sweden 147,000 206.8% 451,000 120.2% 993,000
Switzerland 148,000 192.6% 433,000 53.1% 663,000
Syria 11,067,000 88.8% 20,895,000 35.8% 28,374,000
Taiwan 97,000 ^ 23,000 8.7% 25,000
Tajikistan 4,086,000 71.5% 7,006,000 36.0% 9,525,000
Tanzania 7,637,000 76.1% 13,450,000 44.7% 19,463,000
Thailand 2,324,000 70.1% 3,952,000 7.8% 4,261,000
Timor-Leste 39,000 -97.4% 1,000 100.0% 2,000
Togo 449,000 84.2% 827,000 49.2% 1,234,000
Tokelau < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000
Tonga < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000
Trinidad and Tobago 72,000 8.3% 78,000 2.6% 80,000
Tunisia 8,133,000 27.2% 10,349,000 16.9% 12,097,000
Turkey 55,121,000 35.4% 74,660,000 19.4% 89,127,000
Turkmenistan 2,881,000 67.7% 4,830,000 21.2% 5,855,000
Turks and Caicos Islands < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000
Tuvalu < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000
Uganda 1,862,000 118.0% 4,060,000 63.9% 6,655,000
Ukraine 103,000 ^ 393,000 3.8% 408,000
United Arab Emirates 1,624,000 120.3% 3,577,000 39.3% 4,981,000
United Kingdom 1,172,000 144.8% 2,869,000 94.0% 5,567,000
United States 1,529,000 69.7% 2,595,000 139.5% 6,216,000
Uruguay < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000
U.S. Virgin Islands < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000
Uzbekistan 19,392,000 38.4% 26,833,000 22.1% 32,760,000
Vanuatu < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000
Vatican City < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000
Venezuela 44,000 115.9% 95,000 27.4% 121,000
Vietnam 662,000 ^ 160,000 18.8% 190,000
Wallis and Futuna < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000 0.0% < 1,000
Western Sahara 221,000 138.9% 528,000 54.5% 816,000
Yemen 12,191,000 97.1% 24,023,000 62.2% 38,973,000
Zambia 33,000 78.8% 59,000 59.3% 94,000
Zimbabwe 94,000 16.0% 109,000 42.2% 155,000

Population estimates are rounded to thousands. Percentages are calculated from unrounded numbers.

* These figures are projections. The projections presented in this report are the medium figures in a range of three scenarios – high, medium and low – generated from models commonly used by demographers around the world to forecast changes in population size and composition. The models follow what is known as the cohort-component method, which starts with a baseline population (in this case, the current number of Muslims in each country) divided into groups, or cohorts, by age and sex. Each cohort is projected into the future by adding likely gains – new births and immigrants – and subtracting likely losses – deaths and emigrants. These calculations were made by the Pew Forum’s demographers, who collaborated with researchers at the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) in Austria on the projections for the United States and European countries. (From the Executive Summary of The Future of the Global Muslim Population. For more details, see the Full Report and Methodology.)

^ A note on historical data This interactive feature provides estimates for 1990 and 2000 based on national censuses, demographic and health surveys, and general population surveys and studies available for those years. However, the sources for 1990 appear to have substantially understated the actual number of Muslims in Angola, Cyprus, France, Gabon, Mozambique and Ukraine, while substantially overstating the number in Colombia, Georgia, Mongolia, Panama, Taiwan and Vietnam. The 2000 estimates appear to have undercounted Muslims in Cyprus, France, Guatemala, Hungary, Slovakia and Vietnam, while overcounting the number in Laos, Lesotho and Taiwan. These likely undercounts and overcounts should be taken into consideration when looking at growth rates, particularly in the affected countries. The number of Muslims in Vietnam, for example, may not have dropped from 1990 to 2000 and then climbed rapidly from 2000 to 2010; rather, the 1990 figure was probably too high an estimate, and the 2000 figure may have been too low. These problems in the historical data are a reminder that new censuses and surveys sometimes contradict older ones. For example, as this report went to press, Kazakhstan released the results of its 2009 census, which found that Muslims make up 70.2% of Kazakhstan’s population, a substantially higher percentage than reported in the country’s 1999 Demographic and Health Survey, the source used to estimate Kazakhstan’s Muslim population in 2010 and 2030 in this report. The increase appears to be due primarily to emigration of ethnic Russians and other traditionally non-Muslim groups from the country during the past decade as well as to the general trend, following the collapse of the Soviet Union, of fewer people in former Soviet republics identifying as nonreligious. This report and interactive feature are based on the best data available as of mid-2010.

A note on the Asia-Pacific map Arrows next to some island countries indicate that their correct geographic locations are outside the borders of the map.