{"id":9766,"date":"2020-10-13T10:00:15","date_gmt":"2020-10-13T15:00:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/short-reads\/%year%\/%monthnum%\/%day%\/white-christians-continue-to-favor-trump-over-biden-but-support-has-slipped\/"},"modified":"2024-04-13T23:45:01","modified_gmt":"2024-04-14T04:45:01","slug":"white-christians-continue-to-favor-trump-over-biden-but-support-has-slipped","status":"publish","type":"short-read","link":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/short-reads\/2020\/10\/13\/white-christians-continue-to-favor-trump-over-biden-but-support-has-slipped\/","title":{"rendered":"White Christians continue to favor Trump over Biden, but support has slipped"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">President Donald Trump continues to be White Christians\u2019 preferred candidate for the November election, but support among voters in three major traditions \u2013 White Catholics, White Protestants who are not evangelical and even White evangelical Protestants \u2013 has slipped since August, according to a new Pew Research Center poll.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"alignright size-large is-resized\"><a rel=\"attachment wp-att-17332\" href=\"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/short-reads\/2020\/10\/13\/white-christians-continue-to-favor-trump-over-biden-but-support-has-slipped\/ft_2020-10-13_religionparty_01-png\/\"><img data-dominant-color=\"e6e4e5\" data-has-transparency=\"false\" style=\"--dominant-color: #e6e4e5;\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 523px) 100vw, 523px\" height=\"1024\" src=\"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2020\/10\/ft_2020.10.13_religionparty_01.png?w=523\" alt=\"In 2020 election, deep divisions between White Christians and everyone else\" class=\"wp-image-17332 not-transparent\" width=\"523\" srcset=\"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2020\/10\/ft_2020.10.13_religionparty_01.png 621w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2020\/10\/ft_2020.10.13_religionparty_01.png?resize=153,300 153w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2020\/10\/ft_2020.10.13_religionparty_01.png?resize=523,1024 523w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2020\/10\/ft_2020.10.13_religionparty_01.png?resize=207,405 207w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2020\/10\/ft_2020.10.13_religionparty_01.png?resize=200,392 200w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2020\/10\/ft_2020.10.13_religionparty_01.png?resize=260,510 260w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2020\/10\/ft_2020.10.13_religionparty_01.png?resize=310,608 310w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2020\/10\/ft_2020.10.13_religionparty_01.png?resize=420,823 420w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2020\/10\/ft_2020.10.13_religionparty_01.png?resize=160,314 160w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2020\/10\/ft_2020.10.13_religionparty_01.png?resize=320,627 320w\" \/><\/a><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Democratic candidate Joe Biden, by contrast, is leading the presidential contest among every other religious group analyzed in the survey, including Black Protestants, Hispanic Catholics, Jews and the religiously unaffiliated. The <a href=\"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/politics\/2020\/10\/09\/amid-campaign-turmoil-biden-holds-wide-leads-on-coronavirus-unifying-the-country\/\">poll of 10,543 U.S. registered voters nationwide<\/a> was conducted Sept. 30 to Oct. 5, as Trump spent four days in the hospital amid a White House COVID-19 outbreak.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Among White Catholic voters, Trump is ahead of Biden by 8 percentage points: 52% in this group say they would vote for Trump (or lean that way) if the election were held today, while 44% favor Biden. This gap has narrowed significantly \u2013 Trump was 19 points ahead of Biden (59% to 40%) the last time this question was asked in a poll conducted in <a href=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheets\/d\/1x9BCVUl-XCYEsBrglNC9iQoCB1vocCFNJNEsBvjsVgg\/edit#gid=1102682808\">late July and early August.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Support from White Protestants who do not consider themselves to be evangelical or born-again has dropped at a similar pace: 53% say they would vote for Trump if the election were today, down from 59% who said this in the summer poll. Even White evangelical Protestants have softened slightly in their support for Trump, though they overwhelmingly remain on his side: 78% of White evangelicals intend to cast ballots for Trump, compared with 83% who said this in August.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n<div style=\"border-width:1px;padding-bottom:var(--wp--preset--spacing--20);padding-left:var(--wp--preset--spacing--30);padding-right:var(--wp--preset--spacing--30);padding-top:var(--wp--preset--spacing--20);--block-gap: inherit\" class=\"is-style-alternate wp-block-prc-block-collapsible has-background has-ui-beige-very-light-background-color has-border-color has-ui-beige-dark-border-color\" id=\"how-we-did-this\" data-wp-interactive=\"{&quot;namespace&quot;:&quot;prc-block\\\/collapsible&quot;}\" data-wp-context=\"{&quot;collapsibleId&quot;:&quot;how-we-did-this&quot;,&quot;isOpen&quot;:false}\" data-wp-class--is-open=\"context.isOpen\" data-wp-init--scroll-into-view=\"callbacks.onInitScrollIntoView\"><div class=\"wp-block-prc-block-collapsible__title\" data-wp-on--click=\"actions.onClick\"><div>How we did this<\/div><button class=\"wp-block-prc-block-collapsible__icon\"><span data-wp-bind--hidden=\"context.isOpen\"><i class=\"icon icon-library__light icon__circle-plus\"><svg style=\"width: 1em; height: 1em;\"><use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/plugins\/prc-icon-library\/build\/icons\/sprites\/light.svg#circle-plus\"><\/use><\/svg><\/i><\/span><span data-wp-bind--hidden=\"!context.isOpen\" hidden><i class=\"icon icon-library__light icon__circle-minus\"><svg style=\"width: 1em; height: 1em;\"><use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/plugins\/prc-icon-library\/build\/icons\/sprites\/light.svg#circle-minus\"><\/use><\/svg><\/i><\/span><\/button><\/div><div class=\"wp-block-prc-block-collapsible__content\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-prc-block-collapsible js-react-collapsible is-style-alternate\" data-title=\"How we did this\" data-style=\"is-style-alternate\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pew Research Center conducted this study to understand how Americans from various religious groups view the upcoming 2020 presidential election and the presidential candidates. For this analysis, we surveyed 11,929 U.S. adults, including 10,543 registered voters, during the last week of September and the first week of October 2020. The survey was in the field when Trump announced, early on the morning of Oct. 2, that he and first lady Melania Trump had contracted COVID-19.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Everyone who took part in this survey is a member of Pew Research Center\u2019s American Trends Panel (ATP), an online survey panel that is recruited through national, random sampling of residential addresses. This way nearly all U.S. adults have a chance of selection. The survey is weighted to be representative of the U.S. adult population by gender, race, ethnicity, partisan affiliation, education and other categories. Read more about the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/methods\/u-s-survey-research\/american-trends-panel\/\">ATP\u2019s methodology<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Here are&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/politics\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2020\/10\/PP_2020.10.09_Election-and-Voter-Attitudes_TOPLINE.pdf\">the questions used<\/a> for this report, along with responses, and <a href=\"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/politics\/2020\/10\/09\/election-and-voter-attitudes-methodology\/\">its methodology<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Biden, meanwhile, is currently favored by 90% of Black Protestant registered voters, 70% of Jews and 67% of Hispanic Catholics. Among people without a religious affiliation, Biden is the preferred candidate for 83% of atheists and agnostics, and 62% of people who describe their religion as \u201cnothing in particular.\u201d In all of these groups, support for Biden is on par with that seen in the August survey.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The survey was conducted days after the candidates held their <a href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/election-2020-joe-biden-race-and-ethnicity-virus-outbreak-donald-trump-d8dd75752a0eef8c0311c6360d5d566a\">first presidential debate<\/a> on Sept. 29. On the morning of Oct. 2, Trump announced that he had <a href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/virus-outbreak-donald-trump-health-archive-hope-hicks-7fece2838ff7a9bd91ccf5ac287348b3\">tested positive for the coronavirus<\/a>, and that evening he was hospitalized at Walter Reed Medical Center for treatment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">While support for Trump has dropped among all three groups of White Christians analyzed in the survey, support for Biden did not see a corresponding (statistically significant) jump.&nbsp;One partial factor in Trump\u2019s declining support from White Christians might be that the new survey, for the first time, gave respondents the option&nbsp;of saying they would vote for Libertarian candidate Jo Jorgensen or Green Party candidate Howie Hawkins. Only Trump and Biden were listed by name in the August survey.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Overall, 6% of registered voters in the new survey say they would vote for Jorgensen (4%), Hawkins (1%), or some other candidate or none of the candidates listed (1%). By comparison, 2% of registered voters in the summer poll indicated they would vote for someone other than Trump or Biden, or that they would vote for neither candidate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">White Christians are a key segment of the electorate because they make up roughly 44% of&nbsp; <a href=\"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/politics\/2020\/06\/02\/in-changing-u-s-electorate-race-and-education-remain-stark-dividing-lines\/\">U.S. registered voters<\/a>. Roughly 7% of registered voters are Black Protestants, 5% are Hispanic Catholics, 2% are Jewish and 28% are religiously unaffiliated.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The survey\u2019s findings about 2020 voting intentions are in line with <a href=\"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/politics\/2020\/06\/02\/democratic-edge-in-party-identification-narrows-slightly\/#religious-divides-in-partisanship\">long-term trends in party identification<\/a>. White evangelical Protestants \u2013 Trump\u2019s strongest supporters \u2013 are the most solidly and consistently Republican among major religious groups in the electorate, and they have grown even more uniformly Republican in recent decades. White Catholics and White Protestants who are not evangelical also have shifted in a Republican direction in recent years. By contrast, Black Protestants, religiously unaffiliated voters, Jews and Hispanic Catholics have long been solidly Democratic.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And while the new survey did not ask respondents to rate Trump\u2019s handling of his job as president, past polls show that approval of Trump\u2019s performance has generally hovered within a fairly narrow range among most religious groups.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The share of White evangelical Protestants who said they approve of Trump\u2019s job performance was 72% in the August survey, identical to the share who said this in Trump\u2019s first summer on the job three years ago. Similar shares of White Catholics (54%) and White Protestants who are not evangelical (53%) said this summer that Trump is doing a good job, within the typical band of 50% to 60%. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Trump has consistently received his lowest approval ratings from Black Protestants, Hispanic Catholics, Jews and religiously unaffiliated voters.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><a rel=\"attachment wp-att-17338\" href=\"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/short-reads\/2020\/10\/13\/white-christians-continue-to-favor-trump-over-biden-but-support-has-slipped\/ft_2020-10-13_religionparty_02-png\/\"><img data-dominant-color=\"f6f6f6\" data-has-transparency=\"false\" style=\"--dominant-color: #f6f6f6;\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\" height=\"1018\" width=\"1024\" src=\"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2020\/10\/ft_2020.10.13_religionparty_02.png?w=1024\" alt=\"Trump's job approval rating consistently highest among White Christians, far lower among other groups\" class=\"wp-image-17338 not-transparent\" srcset=\"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2020\/10\/ft_2020.10.13_religionparty_02.png 1281w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2020\/10\/ft_2020.10.13_religionparty_02.png?resize=150,150 150w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2020\/10\/ft_2020.10.13_religionparty_02.png?resize=300,298 300w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2020\/10\/ft_2020.10.13_religionparty_02.png?resize=768,763 768w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2020\/10\/ft_2020.10.13_religionparty_02.png?resize=1024,1018 1024w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2020\/10\/ft_2020.10.13_religionparty_02.png?resize=408,405 408w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2020\/10\/ft_2020.10.13_religionparty_02.png?resize=200,199 200w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2020\/10\/ft_2020.10.13_religionparty_02.png?resize=260,258 260w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2020\/10\/ft_2020.10.13_religionparty_02.png?resize=310,308 310w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2020\/10\/ft_2020.10.13_religionparty_02.png?resize=420,417 420w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2020\/10\/ft_2020.10.13_religionparty_02.png?resize=640,636 640w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2020\/10\/ft_2020.10.13_religionparty_02.png?resize=740,735 740w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2020\/10\/ft_2020.10.13_religionparty_02.png?resize=75,75 75w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2020\/10\/ft_2020.10.13_religionparty_02.png?resize=140,140 140w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2020\/10\/ft_2020.10.13_religionparty_02.png?resize=160,159 160w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2020\/10\/ft_2020.10.13_religionparty_02.png?resize=320,318 320w\" \/><\/a><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Note: Here are&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/politics\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2020\/10\/PP_2020.10.09_Election-and-Voter-Attitudes_TOPLINE.pdf\">the questions used<\/a> for this report, along with responses, and <a href=\"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/politics\/2020\/10\/09\/election-and-voter-attitudes-methodology\/\">its methodology<\/a>. Also, on Oct. 15, Center researchers discussed these and other relevant findings at a public virtual event titled \u201cFaith and the 2020 Elections: A Look at Public Opinion.\u201d The <a href=\"https:\/\/bit.ly\/37RqGgV\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">recording can be found here<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>President Trump continues to be White Christians\u2019 preferred candidate, but support among voters in three traditions has slipped since August.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":584,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"sub_headline":"","sub_title":"","_crdt_document":"","_prc_public_revisions":[],"_ppp_expiration_hours":0,"_ppp_enabled":false,"ai_generated_summary":"","apple_news_api_created_at":"2020-10-13T14:13:47Z","apple_news_api_id":"3fc5a99e-8a41-47c5-89a3-828830dffe17","apple_news_api_modified_at":"2020-10-29T22:54:42Z","apple_news_api_revision":"AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA==","apple_news_api_share_url":"https:\/\/apple.news\/AP8WpnopBR8WJo4KIMN_-Fw","apple_news_cover_media_provider":"image","apple_news_coverimage":0,"apple_news_coverimage_caption":"","apple_news_cover_video_id":0,"apple_news_cover_video_url":"","apple_news_cover_embedwebvideo_url":"","apple_news_is_hidden":"","apple_news_is_paid":"","apple_news_is_preview":"","apple_news_is_sponsored":"","apple_news_maturity_rating":"","apple_news_metadata":"\"\"","apple_news_pullquote":"","apple_news_pullquote_position":"","apple_news_slug":"","apple_news_sections":[],"apple_news_suppress_video_url":false,"apple_news_use_image_component":false,"relatedPosts":[],"_prc_fork_parent":0,"_prc_fork_status":"","_prc_active_fork":0,"datacite_doi":"","datacite_doi_citation":"","_prc_seo_qr_attachment_id":0,"spoken_article_player_enabled":true,"footnotes":""},"categories":[179,68,40,183,383,158],"bylines":[926],"collection":[],"datasets":[],"_post_visibility":[],"formats":[467],"_fund_pool":[],"languages":[],"regions-countries":[515],"research-teams":[520,517],"class_list":["post-9766","short-read","type-short-read","status-publish","hentry","category-christianity","category-donald-trump","category-election-2020","category-evangelicalism","category-joe-biden","category-white-americans","bylines-gregory-a-smith","formats-short-read","regions-countries-united-states","research-teams-politics","research-teams-religion"],"label":"Short 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Christians still favor Trump over Biden, but support has slipped","description":"President Trump continues to be White Christians\u2019 preferred candidate, but support among voters in three traditions has slipped since August.","og_title":"White Christians continue to favor Trump over Biden, but support has slipped","og_description":"President Trump continues to be White Christians\u2019 preferred candidate, but support among voters in three traditions has slipped since August.","schema_type":"Article","noindex":false,"canonical_url":"","primary_terms":[],"custom_schema":[],"twitter_title":"White Christians continue to favor Trump over Biden, but support has slipped","twitter_description":"President Trump continues to be White Christians\u2019 preferred candidate, but support among voters in three traditions has slipped since 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