{"id":13884,"date":"2014-10-27T11:34:36","date_gmt":"2014-10-27T16:34:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/short-reads\/%year%\/%monthnum%\/%day%\/brazil-continues-south-americas-incumbent-streak\/"},"modified":"2024-04-14T03:20:55","modified_gmt":"2024-04-14T08:20:55","slug":"brazil-continues-south-americas-incumbent-streak","status":"publish","type":"short-read","link":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/short-reads\/2014\/10\/27\/brazil-continues-south-americas-incumbent-streak\/","title":{"rendered":"Brazil continues South America\u2019s incumbent streak"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure><a href='https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2014\/11\/FT_14.11.17_politicalPay.png'><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"300\" height=\"248\" src=\"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2014\/11\/FT_14.11.17_politicalPay.png?w=300\" class=\"attachment-medium size-medium not-transparent\" alt=\"Pay at Political Organizations\" srcset=\"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2014\/11\/FT_14.11.17_politicalPay.png 420w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2014\/11\/FT_14.11.17_politicalPay.png?resize=300,248 300w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2014\/11\/FT_14.11.17_politicalPay.png?resize=160,132 160w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2014\/11\/FT_14.11.17_politicalPay.png?resize=200,165 200w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2014\/11\/FT_14.11.17_politicalPay.png?resize=260,215 260w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2014\/11\/FT_14.11.17_politicalPay.png?resize=310,256 310w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" data-has-transparency=\"false\" data-dominant-color=\"f2f2f0\" style=\"--dominant-color: #f2f2f0;\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><figure id=\"attachment_264336\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-264336\" style=\"width: 640px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/assets.pewresearch.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2014\/10\/FT_14.10.27_Rousseff.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-264336\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.pewresearch.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2014\/10\/FT_14.10.27_Rousseff.jpg\" alt=\"(Dida Sampaio\/Estado Conteudo, Agencia Estado via AP Images)\" width=\"640\" height=\"320\"><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-264336\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">(Dida Sampaio\/Estado Conteudo, Agencia Estado via AP Images)<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/figure>\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image alignright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/assets.pewresearch.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2014\/10\/FT_14.10.27_southAmericaRousseff_win.png\"><img data-dominant-color=\"e7e7e5\" data-has-transparency=\"false\" style=\"--dominant-color: #e7e7e5;\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"200\" height=\"550\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 200px) 100vw, 200px\" class=\"wp-image-25770 not-transparent\" src=\"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2014\/10\/FT_14.10.27_southAmericaRousseff_win.png\" alt=\"South America Elections\" srcset=\"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2014\/10\/FT_14.10.27_southAmericaRousseff_win.png 200w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2014\/10\/FT_14.10.27_southAmericaRousseff_win.png?resize=109,300 109w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2014\/10\/FT_14.10.27_southAmericaRousseff_win.png?resize=147,405 147w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2014\/10\/FT_14.10.27_southAmericaRousseff_win.png?resize=116,320 116w\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The <a href=\"http:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/2014\/10\/27\/us-brazil-election-idUSKCN0IE03L20141027\">narrow re-election Sunday<\/a>\u00a0of Brazilian President Dilma Rousseff maintained the recent record of South American nations when it comes to returning presidential incumbents to office.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Indeed, in recent decades, no incumbents from the 10 Latin American countries on the continent have lost bids for re-election. If Latin countries in Central America and the Caribbean are included, only two incumbent presidents have lost recent re-election bids: <a href=\"http:\/\/articles.philly.com\/1990-02-26\/news\/25884961_1_united-national-opposition-nicaraguan-history-sandinistas\">Nicaragua\u2019s Daniel Ortega<\/a> in 1990 and the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.britannica.com\/EBchecked\/topic\/1003655\/Dominican-Republic-in-2004\">Dominican Republic\u2019s Hip\u00f3lito Mej\u00eda<\/a> in 2004.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Since 1980, incumbents in South America (not including Guyana, Suriname and French Guiana) have won all 17 presidential elections in which they were on the ballot. During the same period, four American presidents (Ronald Reagan, Bill Clinton, George W. Bush and Barack Obama) won re-election and two (Jimmy Carter and George H.W. Bush) were defeated.\u00a0<!--more--><\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Students of South American politics cite a number of reasons for the success of incumbents. In many countries, such as Venezuela and Ecuador, presidents have enjoyed substantial\u00a0control over the press, courts and other government institutions, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.buenosairesherald.com\/article\/162289\/unbeatable-incumbents\">making it harder<\/a> for challengers to gain traction.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Also, until recently, incumbents were helped by more than a decade of steady economic growth on the continent, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.economist.com\/news\/americas\/21599782-instead-crises-past-mediocre-growth-big-riskunless-productivity-rises-life\">fueled in part<\/a> by high global demand for commodities \u2013 such as oil and copper \u2013 that are found in abundance through much of South America. One reason <a href=\"http:\/\/thehill.com\/blogs\/pundits-blog\/international\/221732-economic-issues-could-be-decisive-in-brazilian-presidential\">cited<\/a> for the close race in Brazil is that growth in the country\u2019s gross domestic product <a href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/publicdata\/explore?ds=d5bncppjof8f9_&amp;met_y=ny_gdp_mktp_kd_zg&amp;idim=country:BRA:IND:USA&amp;hl=en&amp;dl=en\">has slowed<\/a>, from a recent high of 7.5% in 2010 to 1% in 2012 and 2.5% in 2013.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Some South American nations have tried to combat the re-election of incumbents by imposing electoral limits on sitting presidents. Paraguay, for instance, allows its presidents to serve only one five-year term, while Chile, Peru and Uruguay bar consecutive presidential terms. Some other countries, including Brazil, Argentina and Colombia, limit presidents to two consecutive terms.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As a result, the days of Latin American leaders ruling for decades have largely passed. There are, however, some exceptions: Venezuela\u2019s Hugo Chavez was elected four times, dying in office in 2013 after having served 14 years as president. Bolivia\u2019s Evo Morales <a href=\"http:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2014\/oct\/13\/bolivia-evo-morales--president-third-term\">recently won a third term<\/a> after a court ruled he could run, despite a constitutional two-term limit. And, in Ecuador, Rafael Correa may run for a fourth term in 2017, pending a proposal that would <a href=\"http:\/\/online.wsj.com\/articles\/ecuador-president-rafael-correa-seeks-law-allowing-perpetual-re-election-1408395511\">allow indefinite re-election<\/a> in that country.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In recent decades, no incumbents from the 10 Latin American countries in South America have lost bids for re-election.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":157,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"_crdt_document":"","sub_headline":null,"sub_title":"","_prc_public_revisions":[],"_ppp_expiration_hours":0,"_ppp_enabled":false,"ai_generated_summary":"","apple_news_api_created_at":"","apple_news_api_id":"","apple_news_api_modified_at":"","apple_news_api_revision":"","apple_news_api_share_url":"","apple_news_cover_media_provider":"image","apple_news_coverimage":0,"apple_news_coverimage_caption":"","apple_news_cover_video_id":0,"apple_news_cover_video_url":"","apple_news_cover_embedwebvideo_url":"","apple_news_is_hidden":"","apple_news_is_paid":"","apple_news_is_preview":"","apple_news_is_sponsored":"","apple_news_maturity_rating":"","apple_news_metadata":"\"\"","apple_news_pullquote":"","apple_news_pullquote_position":"","apple_news_slug":"","apple_news_sections":[],"apple_news_suppress_video_url":false,"apple_news_use_image_component":false,"relatedPosts":[],"_prc_fork_parent":0,"_prc_fork_status":"","_prc_active_fork":0,"datacite_doi":"","datacite_doi_citation":"","_prc_seo_qr_attachment_id":0,"spoken_article_player_enabled":true,"footnotes":""},"categories":[53,116],"bylines":[930],"collection":[],"datasets":[],"_post_visibility":[],"formats":[467],"_fund_pool":[],"languages":[],"regions-countries":[514,513],"research-teams":[525],"class_list":["post-13884","short-read","type-short-read","status-publish","hentry","category-world-elections-2","category-world-elections-1","bylines-david-masci","formats-short-read","regions-countries-international","regions-countries-latin-america","research-teams-global"],"label":"Short 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