{"id":13683,"date":"2015-04-21T07:00:19","date_gmt":"2015-04-21T12:00:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/short-reads\/%year%\/%monthnum%\/%day%\/by-2050-india-to-have-worlds-largest-populations-of-hindus-and-muslims\/"},"modified":"2024-05-10T16:26:39","modified_gmt":"2024-05-10T20:26:39","slug":"by-2050-india-to-have-worlds-largest-populations-of-hindus-and-muslims","status":"publish","type":"short-read","link":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/short-reads\/2015\/04\/21\/by-2050-india-to-have-worlds-largest-populations-of-hindus-and-muslims\/","title":{"rendered":"By 2050, India to have world\u2019s largest populations of Hindus and Muslims"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In the coming decades, India will have the distinction of having the largest populations of two of the three largest religions in the world \u2013 Islam and Hinduism \u2013 according to <a href=\"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/religion\/2015\/04\/02\/religious-projections-2010-2050\/\">new religious projections data<\/a> from Pew Research Center.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">India is already home to most of the world\u2019s Hindus. In 2010, 94% of the world\u2019s Hindus lived in India, and this is expected to remain true in 2050, when 1.3 billion Hindus are projected to live in the country.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But India also is expected have 311 million Muslims in 2050 (11% of the global total), making it the country with the largest population of Muslims in the world. Currently, Indonesia has the world\u2019s largest number of Muslims.<!--more--><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image alignright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/assets.pewresearch.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2015\/04\/FT_15.04.17_indiaGrowth.png\"><img data-dominant-color=\"e8e1cc\" data-has-transparency=\"false\" style=\"--dominant-color: #e8e1cc;\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"310\" height=\"492\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 310px) 100vw, 310px\" src=\"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2015\/04\/FT_15.04.17_indiaGrowth.png\" alt=\"Population Growth of the World's Largest Religions in India\" class=\"wp-image-25250 not-transparent\" srcset=\"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2015\/04\/FT_15.04.17_indiaGrowth.png 310w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2015\/04\/FT_15.04.17_indiaGrowth.png?resize=189,300 189w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2015\/04\/FT_15.04.17_indiaGrowth.png?resize=255,405 255w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2015\/04\/FT_15.04.17_indiaGrowth.png?resize=200,317 200w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2015\/04\/FT_15.04.17_indiaGrowth.png?resize=260,413 260w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2015\/04\/FT_15.04.17_indiaGrowth.png?resize=160,254 160w\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Muslims are expected to grow faster than Hindus because they have the youngest median age and the highest fertility rates among major religious groups in India. In 2010, the median age of Indian Muslims was 22, compared with 26 for Hindus and 28 for Christians. Likewise, Muslim women have an average of 3.2 children per woman, compared with 2.5 for Hindus and 2.3 for Christians.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Due to these factors, India\u2019s Muslim community will expand faster than its Hindu population, rising from 14.4% in 2010 to 18.4% in 2050. But, even with this increase, Hindus will make up more than three-in-four Indians (76.7%) in 2050. Indeed, the number of Hindus in India will still be larger than the five largest Muslim populations in the world\u2019s biggest Muslim countries (India, Pakistan, Indonesia, Nigeria and Bangladesh) combined.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">India also has a number of smaller religious minorities. In 2010, approximately 2.5% of the country\u2019s population was Christian, including members of Scheduled Castes (historically referred to as Untouchables or Dalits) who <a href=\"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/religion\/2015\/04\/02\/appendix-a-methodology-2\/\">sometimes identify as Hindu<\/a> when completing official forms. Christians are expected to make up 2.2% of India\u2019s population in 2050.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image alignright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/?attachment_id=269147\"><img data-dominant-color=\"f5f4f2\" data-has-transparency=\"false\" style=\"--dominant-color: #f5f4f2;\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"310\" height=\"462\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 310px) 100vw, 310px\" src=\"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2015\/04\/FT_15.04.17_indiaShare.png\" alt=\"Religious Composition of India\" class=\"wp-image-25256 not-transparent\" srcset=\"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2015\/04\/FT_15.04.17_indiaShare.png 310w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2015\/04\/FT_15.04.17_indiaShare.png?resize=201,300 201w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2015\/04\/FT_15.04.17_indiaShare.png?resize=272,405 272w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2015\/04\/FT_15.04.17_indiaShare.png?resize=200,298 200w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2015\/04\/FT_15.04.17_indiaShare.png?resize=260,387 260w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2015\/04\/FT_15.04.17_indiaShare.png?resize=160,238 160w\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Religious turmoil (between Muslims and Hindus, but also involving Sikhs, Christians and others) has long been a fact of life in India. The year the country won its independence from Britain, the Indian subcontinent was <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/history\/british\/modern\/partition1947_01.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">partitioned along religious lines<\/a>, into Muslim Pakistan and Hindu India. Even though the separation was intended to ease religious tensions, it led to a spasm of violence that left up to a million dead and more than&nbsp;10 million displaced.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In the nearly 70 years since independence, religious violence has claimed thousands more lives, including that of modern India\u2019s founder, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/learning\/general\/onthisday\/big\/0130.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Mahatma Gandhi<\/a>, as well as <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/learning\/general\/onthisday\/bday\/1119.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Prime Minister Indira Gandhi<\/a>. A <a href=\"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/religion\/2015\/02\/26\/situation-as-of-2013\/\">recent Pew Research Center report<\/a> on religious restrictions found India to have one of the highest levels of social hostilities involving&nbsp;religion in the world.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Even India\u2019s current prime minister, Narendra Modi, has been <a href=\"http:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/indias-modi-vows-crackdown-on-religious-intolerance-1424232338\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">dogged by allegations of religious intolerance,<\/a> stemming from anti-Muslim violence in the state of Gujarat in 2002, which according to some estimates killed as many as&nbsp;2,000 people. Modi, who was chief minister&nbsp;of Gujarat at the time, has been accused of not doing enough to stop the killing because he is leader of the Hindu nationalist Bharatiya Janata Party and the violence was perpetrated by Hindus against Muslims.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Correction:&nbsp;<\/strong><i>An earlier version of this post described Narendra Modi as a former governor of Gujarat. He was formerly chief minister of the state.<\/i><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>India is projected to have 310 million Muslims (11% of the global total), making it the country with the largest population of Muslims in the world. 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