{"id":94168,"date":"2014-08-06T09:09:30","date_gmt":"2014-08-06T14:09:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/2014\/08\/06\/key-insights-expert-views-on-artificial-intelligence-robotics-and-the-future-of-jobs\/"},"modified":"2024-04-14T04:12:57","modified_gmt":"2024-04-14T09:12:57","slug":"key-insights-expert-views-on-artificial-intelligence-robotics-and-the-future-of-jobs","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/internet\/2014\/08\/06\/key-insights-expert-views-on-artificial-intelligence-robotics-and-the-future-of-jobs\/","title":{"rendered":"Key Insights: Expert Views on Artificial Intelligence, Robotics, and the Future of Jobs"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/internet\/?attachment_id=11719\"><img data-dominant-color=\"4a7ba5\" data-has-transparency=\"false\" style=\"--dominant-color: #4a7ba5;\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"600\" height=\"300\"  srcset=\"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2014\/07\/PI_14.08.06_FutureQuote_Webb.png?resize=480,240 480w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2014\/07\/PI_14.08.06_FutureQuote_Webb.png?resize=600,300 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 480px) 480px, (max-width: 782px) 782px, 640px\" class=\"wp-image-118677 not-transparent\" src=\"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2014\/07\/PI_14.08.06_FutureQuote_Webb.png\" alt=\"Future of jobs\" ><\/a><\/figure>\n\n<p>[AI]<\/p>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Overview<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Experts say automation and\u00a0intelligent digital agents will permeate vast areas of our work\/personal lives by 2025<\/li>\n<li>52% of experts say tech advances will NOT displace more jobs than they create by 2025; 48% say they will<\/li>\n<li>Many experts fear that the workforce is not being adequately prepared for tech changes on the horizon<\/li>\n<li>Experts see tech changes resulting in new skills being valued, and a rethinking of the concept of work<\/li>\n<li>Technological advances will change the industrial age notions of what a \u201cjob\u201d is, experts say<\/li>\n<li>\u201cWhen the car was introduced, buggy whip makers went out of business. It will ever be so.\u201d\u2014Penn State professor<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>How fast is change coming?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Many experts see advances in AI and robotics pervading nearly every aspect of daily life by 2025<\/li>\n<li>\u201cThe penetration of AI and robotics will be close to 100% in many areas\u201d\u2014 Marc Prensky<\/li>\n<li>By 2025 \u201cAll the fundamentals of life can and\u00a0will be automated, from driving to grocery shopping\u201d\u2014@nilofer<\/li>\n<li>\u201cSelf-driving cars seem very likely by 2025\u201d\u2014@vgcerf<\/li>\n<li>Robots\/AI will start to become \u201cbackground noise\u201d in peoples\u2019 daily lives\u2014@cascio<\/li>\n<li>\u201cThe degree of integration of AI into daily life will depend very much, as it does now, on wealth\u201d\u2014Bill Woodcock<\/li>\n<li>\u201cWe\u2019re still a very long way from \u2018AI\u2019 as generally seen in the movies, i.e. humanoid robots\u201d\u2014@sethfinkelstein<\/li>\n<li>\u201cAutomated cars will not make it into use\u2014this is way harder than anybody is letting on\u201d\u2014a business professor<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Reasons for optimism about the impact of technological change<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Experts say tech advances will displace certain types of work, but historically they\u2019ve been net creator of jobs<\/li>\n<li>\u201cHistorically, technology has created more jobs than it destroys\u201d\u2014@vgcerf<\/li>\n<li>\u201cEvery wave of automation and computerization has increased productivity w\/o depressing employment\u201d\u2014@MichaelKende<\/li>\n<li>A new wave of innovations and jobs will be created from the need to code\/build new high tech tools\u2014@MichaelKende<\/li>\n<li>.@markoff wonders, who would\u2019ve thought SEO would be a significant job category 15 years ago?<\/li>\n<li>By 2025, \u201cthere is likely to be more human-robot collaboration,\u201d says @MarjorySB<\/li>\n<li>\u201cFor all the automation and AI, the \u2018human hand\u2019 will have to be involved on a large scale\u201d\u2014David Hughes<\/li>\n<li>\u201cAn app can dial Mom\u2019s number and even send flowers\u201d but it can\u2019t emotionally connect with her\u2014@mediapsychology<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/internet\/2014\/08\/06\/future-of-jobs\/pi_14-08-06_futurequotes_boyd-3\/\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-11767\"><img data-dominant-color=\"eeefef\" data-has-transparency=\"false\" style=\"--dominant-color: #eeefef;\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"600\" height=\"300\"  srcset=\"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2014\/08\/PI_14.08.06_FutureQuotes_Boyd2.png?resize=480,240 480w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2014\/08\/PI_14.08.06_FutureQuotes_Boyd2.png?resize=600,300 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 480px) 480px, (max-width: 782px) 782px, 640px\" class=\"wp-image-118732 not-transparent\" src=\"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2014\/08\/PI_14.08.06_FutureQuotes_Boyd2.png\" alt=\"PI_14.08.06_FutureQuotes_Boyd\" ><\/a><\/figure>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Concerns about the impact of high-tech advances<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Experts\u2019 concern about tech advances: Automation has hit blue collar employment; white collar jobs will be next<\/li>\n<li>\u201cAutomation is Voldemort: the terrifying force nobody is willing to name\u201d\u2014@jerrymichalski<\/li>\n<li>Tech advances and\u00a0jobs\u2014\u201cThere is great pain down the road for everyone as new realities are addressed\u201d\u2014Mike Roberts<\/li>\n<li>\u201cEverything that can be automated will be automated.\u201d\u2014@cybertelecom<\/li>\n<li>\u201cRobots and AI threaten to make even some kinds of skilled work obsolete (e.g., legal clerks)\u201d\u2014@tomstandage<\/li>\n<li>Tech will create new jobs, but there\u2019ll be \u201closses in middle and\u00a0gains of terrible jobs at the bottom\u201d\u2014@bjfr<\/li>\n<li>Vytautas Butrimas expects social unrest between 2020 and 2025 because of jobs displaced by technology<\/li>\n<li>\u201cSkills needed to manage the AI will be highly specialized and\u00a0out of the reach of 95% of people\u201d\u2014software engineer<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>The challenge of being ready for change<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>.@geoffliving on the impact of AI\/Robotics: \u201cThe technology may be ready, but we are not\u2014at least, not yet.\u201d<\/li>\n<li>\u201cOnly the best-educated humans will compete with machines\u201d in the workplace\u2014@hrheingold<\/li>\n<li>.@BryanAlexander thinks the education system is not well positioned to shape grads to \u201crace against the machines\u201d<\/li>\n<li>.@halvarian sees a future w\/ fewer jobs due to tech advances but more equitable distribution of labor\/leisure time<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Challenges for policymakers <\/strong><\/p>\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Experts say without policy shift, automation threatens to increase both unemployment and income inequality<\/li>\n<li>\u201cJust because there\u2019s a technology that exists to replace jobs doesn\u2019t mean it has to be adopted\u201d\u2014Ben Fuller<\/li>\n<li>Decisions about using tech surrogates will be driven by culture\/politics as much as practicality\u2014@jonl<\/li>\n<\/ul>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Experts in fields ranging from computer science to marketing to social science share their insights on what future impacts AI\/robotics 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