{"id":551418,"date":"2026-09-30T13:55:24","date_gmt":"2026-09-30T17:55:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/?p=551418"},"modified":"2026-09-30T13:55:24","modified_gmt":"2026-09-30T17:55:24","slug":"appendix-b-additional-tables-6","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/data-labs\/2026\/09\/30\/appendix-b-additional-tables-6\/","title":{"rendered":"Appendix B: Additional tables"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Different models get different questions correct<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t
Questions where each synthetic sample achieved a question-level average absolute error of 5.0 percentage points or less, when compared with real ATP data<\/em><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n
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<\/colgroup>
GPT-5.1<\/th>Both models<\/th>Claude Opus 4.6\n<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
\u2022 Whether there are clear solutions to most
big issues facing the country today<\/td>		\u2022 Have an IRA, 401(k) or similar retirement account<\/td>\u2022 Satisfaction with the way things are going in this country today
<\/td><\/tr>
\u2022 Whether 2026 will be better than or worse than 2025<\/td><\/td>\u2022 Whether voting gives people like you some say about how government runs things
<\/td><\/tr>
\u2022 Preference for living in a community where houses are larger and farther apart or smaller and closer to each other<\/td><\/td>\u2022 Whether your side has been winning more often than losing in political issues that matter to you over the last few years
<\/td><\/tr>
\u2022 Concern about the cost of housing<\/td><\/td>\u2022 Whether the Trump administration\u2019s tariff policies will have a positive or negative overall effect on the country
<\/td><\/tr>
\u2022 Participation in a political campaign, meeting, protest or rally in the last two years<\/td><\/td>\u2022 Favorability of suspending all asylum applications from people seeking to live in the U.S. to escape violence or danger
<\/td><\/tr>
\u2022 Whether it\u2019s acceptable or not for federal immigration officers to wear face coverings that hide their identities while working<\/td><\/td>\u2022 Whether it matters or not which party wins control of Congress in the 2026 elections
<\/td><\/tr>
\u2022 Trump presidential approval<\/td><\/td>\u2022 Whether Trump will be a successful or unsuccessful president in the long run
<\/td><\/tr>
\u2022 Ease or difficulty of someone obtaining an abortion in the area where you live<\/td><\/td>\u2022 Whether Democratic congressional leaders this year should work with Trump to accomplish things or stand up to Trump on issues important to their voters
<\/td><\/tr>
\u2022 Whether police should be allowed to stop and search anyone who fits the general definition of a crime suspect<\/td><\/td>\u2022 Whether obtaining an abortion in the area where you live should be harder, easier or about the same as it is now”<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td>\u2022 Favor or oppose pausing visa applications from people in 75 countries seeking to legally immigrate to the U.S.
<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td>\u2022 Whether Trump\u2019s economic policies have made economic conditions better, worse or have had not much of an effect”<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td>\u2022 Whether you find talking about politics with people you disagree with interesting and informative or stressful and frustrating
<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td>\u2022 Confidence that Trump has the leadership skills needed to be president<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t
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Note: Refer to the Wave 185 questionnaire<\/a> for full question wording.
Source: Survey of U.S. adults and \u201cdigital twins\u201d synthetic analysis using models set to low reasoning with extended profile information and expert reflection. Survey was conducted Jan. 20-26, 2026 (replicated March 2-3 with OpenAI GPT-5.1; and replicated March 9-12 and April 7-10 with Claude Opus 4.6).<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t
\u201cCan AI Stand In for Human Survey-Takers? Not Really\u201d<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t
PEW RESEARCH CENTER<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t
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