{"id":55058,"date":"1996-01-29T00:00:00","date_gmt":"1996-01-29T05:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/1996\/01\/29\/forbes-draws-even-with-dole-in-new-hampshire\/"},"modified":"1996-01-29T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"1996-01-29T05:00:00","slug":"forbes-draws-even-with-dole-in-new-hampshire","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/politics\/1996\/01\/29\/forbes-draws-even-with-dole-in-new-hampshire\/","title":{"rendered":"Forbes Draws Even With Dole In New Hampshire"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Report Summary<\/h2>\n<p>Political newcomer Steve Forbes has moved into a statistical tie with Bob Dole for top honors in the New Hampshire primary. \u00a0A Pew Research Center poll of 543 likely voters taken January 25-28 finds the millionaire publisher leading the Senator 29% to 24%, but the lead is within the poll&#8217;s margin of sampling error. \u00a0Well behind the two front runners are Lamar Alexander (11%), Pat Buchanan (11%), and Phil Gramm (10%), all in a statistical tie for third place. \u00a0All other candidates register less than 5% support.<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;.<\/p>\n<p>Dole continues to hold a lead, 31% to 24%, over Forbes among registered Republicans likely to vote in the New Hampshire primary. However, the New Jersey publisher holds a 2-to-1 lead over the Senate majority leader among Independents who plan to vote in the state&#8217;s GOP primary (34% vs. 17%). Forbes out-polls Dole among middle income and lower income groups, while Dole leads among more affluent voters. The poll also revealed a gender gap in which men divide their support evenly between Forbes and Dole (30% to 29%), but Forbes enjoys a 27% to 19% margin over Dole among women.<\/p>\n<h3>A Clinton Lead In New Hampshire<\/h3>\n<p>The Pew Research Center poll was taken at the end of a week in which Bob Dole was widely criticized for his post-State of the Union address, while challenger Forbes was featured on the covers of both Time and Newsweek magazines. Nonetheless, both Republicans trail Bill Clinton in the general election match-ups. The President leads Dole 52% to 36% and wins over Forbes by a thinner 48% to 41% margin in the traditionally Republican state.<\/p>\n<p>Likely New Hampshire voters have a negative opinion about most of the GOP presidential candidates. Only Dole, Forbes and Alexander are rated favorably by majorities, as the table below shows.<\/p>\n<h3>Opinion of Likely Primary Voters<\/h3>\n<pre>                      Favorable Unfavorable  Don't Know\r\n\r\nBob Dole                 56         41        3=100\r\n\r\nSteve Forbes             59         32        9=100\r\n\r\nLamar Alexander          51         28        21=100\r\n\r\nPhil Gramm               44         43        13=100\r\n\r\nPat Buchanan             41         53        6=100\r\n\r\nRichard Lugar            24         33        43=100<\/pre>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Report Summary Political newcomer Steve Forbes has moved into a statistical tie with Bob Dole for top honors in the New Hampshire primary. \u00a0A Pew Research Center poll of 543 likely voters taken January 25-28 finds the millionaire publisher leading the Senator 29% to 24%, but the lead is within the poll&#8217;s margin of sampling 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