{"id":53797,"date":"2003-06-12T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2003-06-12T05:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/2003\/06\/12\/66-expect-bush-victory-but-democrats-more-optimistic-than-in-91\/"},"modified":"2024-04-14T04:11:15","modified_gmt":"2024-04-14T09:11:15","slug":"66-expect-bush-victory-but-democrats-more-optimistic-than-in-91","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/politics\/2003\/06\/12\/66-expect-bush-victory-but-democrats-more-optimistic-than-in-91\/","title":{"rendered":"66% Expect Bush Victory, But Democrats More Optimistic Than In \u201991"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2 id=\"summary-of-findings\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">Summary of Findings<\/h2>\n\n<figure><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.pewresearch.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/legacy\/186-1.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"277\" height=\"226\"><\/figure>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Most Americans believe President Bush will win reelection next fall, but Democrats are holding out hope for their party&#8217;s chances for success in 2004. Overall, two-thirds of registered voters (66%) think Bush will be reelected, compared with 22% who expect the Democratic candidate to prevail. In the fall of 1991, more than three-quarters of registered voters (78%) expected President George H.W. Bush to win the 1992 election.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Democrats are more optimistic about their chances now than they were in October 1991. Nearly half of registered Democrats (46%) think their party&#8217;s candidate will win next year&#8217;s election, while 38% expect Bush to prevail. In 1991, two-thirds of registered Democrats (67%) said they thought Bush would win the 1992 race. Independents also are less likely to say they expect a Bush victory (66% now, 82% then), while Republicans are about as confident as they were in October 1991 (91% now, 89% then).<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The latest Pew Research Center nationwide poll of 1,000 Americans (including 749 registered voters), conducted June 4-8, finds that 62% of Americans approve of the president&#8217;s job perfromance, down slightly from last month (65%). The president&#8217;s job approval rating has declined from its recent peak of 74% in early April, shortly after the fall of Baghdad. Just prior to the war (March 13-16), 55% of the public approved of Bush&#8217;s job performance.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bush continues to win overwhelming support from Republicans (92%). But positive ratings for the president have slipped among independents and Democrats since the end of the Iraq war. Currently, 56% of independents approve of Bush&#8217;s job performance, down from a recent peak of 73% in late March. Just four-in-ten Democrats give Bush a positive rating, down from 54% in early April.<\/p>\n\n<h3 data-is-section=\"true\" data-wp-context=\"{&quot;id&quot;:&quot;tax-cuts-bush-trip-attract-little-attention&quot;}\" data-wp-interactive=\"{&quot;namespace&quot;:&quot;prc-block\\\/table-of-contents&quot;}\" id=\"tax-cuts-bush-trip-attract-little-attention\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Tax Cuts, Bush Trip Attract Little Attention<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The public is showing little interest in the president&#8217;s major accomplishments of the past month \u00ad his signing into law of $350 billion in tax reductions, and his meetings with world leaders and efforts to jump-start the Mideast peace process. Only about one-in-five Americans say they followed those stories very closely (22% tax cut, 20% overseas trip).<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Developments in Iraq continue as the top news story (46% very closely), although interest has declined since last month (63%). The infectious lung disease SARS also is attracting less interest: 28% say they followed reports on SARS very closely, compared with 39% in May.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Summary of Findings Most Americans believe President Bush will win reelection next fall, but Democrats are holding out hope for their party&#8217;s chances for success in 2004. Overall, two-thirds of registered voters (66%) think Bush will be reelected, compared with 22% who expect the Democratic candidate to prevail. In the fall of 1991, more than [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sub_headline":"","sub_title":"","_crdt_document":"","_prc_public_revisions":[],"_ppp_expiration_hours":0,"_ppp_enabled":false,"ai_generated_summary":"","relatedPosts":[],"reportMaterials":[],"multiSectionReport":[{"key":"_migrate_0","postId":53805}],"package_parts__enabled":false,"package_parts":[],"_prc_fork_parent":0,"_prc_fork_status":"","_prc_active_fork":0,"datacite_doi":"","datacite_doi_citation":"","_prc_seo_qr_attachment_id":0,"spoken_article_player_enabled":true,"bylines":[],"acknowledgements":[],"displayBylines":true,"footnotes":"","prc_watchers":[]},"categories":[376,336,25,39],"tags":[],"bylines":[],"collection":[],"datasets":[1665],"level_of_effort":[],"primary_audience":[],"information_type":[],"_post_visibility":[],"formats":[458],"_fund_pool":[],"languages":[],"regions-countries":[],"research-teams":[520],"workflow-status":[],"class_list":["post-53797","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-election-2004","category-news-coverage","category-politics-policy","category-us-elections-voters","datasets-june-2003-news-interest-index","formats-report","research-teams-politics"],"label":false,"post_parent":0,"word_count":368,"canonical_url":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/politics\/2003\/06\/12\/66-expect-bush-victory-but-democrats-more-optimistic-than-in-91\/","art_direction":false,"_embeds":[],"watchers":[],"table_of_contents":[{"id":53797,"title":"66% Expect Bush Victory, But Democrats More Optimistic Than In \u201991","slug":"66-expect-bush-victory-but-democrats-more-optimistic-than-in-91","link":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/politics\/2003\/06\/12\/66-expect-bush-victory-but-democrats-more-optimistic-than-in-91\/","is_active":true},{"id":53805,"title":"About this Survey","slug":"about-this-survey-81","link":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/politics\/2003\/06\/12\/about-this-survey-81\/","is_active":false}],"report_materials":"","report_pagination":{"current_post":{"id":53797,"title":"66% Expect Bush Victory, But Democrats More Optimistic Than In \u201991","slug":"66-expect-bush-victory-but-democrats-more-optimistic-than-in-91","link":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/politics\/2003\/06\/12\/66-expect-bush-victory-but-democrats-more-optimistic-than-in-91\/","is_active":true,"page_num":1},"next_post":{"id":53805,"title":"About this Survey","slug":"about-this-survey-81","link":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/politics\/2003\/06\/12\/about-this-survey-81\/","is_active":false,"page_num":2},"previous_post":null,"pagination_items":[{"id":53797,"title":"66% Expect Bush Victory, But Democrats More Optimistic Than In \u201991","slug":"66-expect-bush-victory-but-democrats-more-optimistic-than-in-91","link":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/politics\/2003\/06\/12\/66-expect-bush-victory-but-democrats-more-optimistic-than-in-91\/","is_active":true,"page_num":1},{"id":53805,"title":"About this Survey","slug":"about-this-survey-81","link":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/politics\/2003\/06\/12\/about-this-survey-81\/","is_active":false,"page_num":2}]},"parent_info":{"parent_title":"66% Expect Bush Victory, But Democrats More Optimistic Than In \u201991","parent_id":53797},"materialsOrdered":[],"chaptersOrdered":[{"key":"_migrate_0","postId":53805}],"partsOrdered":[],"partsEnabled":false,"datacite_doi":"","prc_seo_data":{"title":"66% Expect Bush Victory, But Democrats More Optimistic Than In \u201991","description":"Summary of Findings Most Americans believe President Bush will win reelection next fall, but Democrats are holding out hope for their party's chances for success in 2004. Overall, two-thirds of&hellip;","og_title":"66% Expect Bush Victory, But Democrats More Optimistic Than In \u201991","og_description":"","schema_type":"Article","noindex":false,"canonical_url":"","primary_terms":[],"custom_schema":[],"og_image":0,"indexnow_submitted_at":null,"gsc_index_status":null},"prepublish_checks":{"prc-image-alt-text":{"status":"incomplete","message":"1 image is missing alt text.","data":{"count":1}},"prc-about-this-research":{"status":"incomplete","message":"Add an \"About this research\" details block.","data":null},"prc-paragraph-count":{"status":"complete","message":"Found 6 paragraphs.","data":{"count":6}},"prc-internal-link":{"status":"incomplete","message":"Add at least one internal link.","data":{"count":0}}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"relatedPostsOrdered":[],"bylinesOrdered":[],"acknowledgementsOrdered":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/53797","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=53797"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/53797\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":126381,"href":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/53797\/revisions\/126381"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=53797"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=53797"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=53797"},{"taxonomy":"bylines","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bylines?post=53797"},{"taxonomy":"collection","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/collection?post=53797"},{"taxonomy":"datasets","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/datasets?post=53797"},{"taxonomy":"level_of_effort","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/level_of_effort?post=53797"},{"taxonomy":"primary_audience","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/primary_audience?post=53797"},{"taxonomy":"information_type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/information_type?post=53797"},{"taxonomy":"_post_visibility","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/_post_visibility?post=53797"},{"taxonomy":"formats","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/formats?post=53797"},{"taxonomy":"_fund_pool","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/_fund_pool?post=53797"},{"taxonomy":"languages","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/languages?post=53797"},{"taxonomy":"regions-countries","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/regions-countries?post=53797"},{"taxonomy":"research-teams","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/research-teams?post=53797"},{"taxonomy":"workflow-status","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/workflow-status?post=53797"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}