{"id":48234,"date":"2016-07-07T13:57:16","date_gmt":"2016-07-07T18:57:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/2016\/07\/07\/vote-preference-over-time\/"},"modified":"2024-04-13T23:58:03","modified_gmt":"2024-04-14T04:58:03","slug":"vote-preference-over-time","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/politics\/2016\/07\/07\/vote-preference-over-time\/","title":{"rendered":"Vote preference over time"},"content":{"rendered":"\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
<\/th>\n2008 June vote preference<\/th>\n2012 June vote preference<\/th>\n2016 June vote preference<\/th>\n<\/th>\n<\/th>\n<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\nObama<\/th>\nMcCain<\/th>\nOther\/DK<\/th>\nMargin<\/th>\nObama<\/th>\nRomney<\/th>\nOther\/DK<\/th>\nMargin<\/th>\nClinton<\/th>\nTrump<\/th>\nOther\/DK<\/th>\nMargin<\/th>\n2016<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\n%<\/th>\n%<\/th>\n%<\/th>\n<\/th>\n%<\/th>\n%<\/th>\n%<\/th>\n<\/th>\n%<\/th>\n%<\/th>\n%<\/th>\n<\/th>\nN<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
TOTAL<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\n48<\/td>\n40<\/td>\n12<\/td>\nD+8<\/td>\n50<\/td>\n46<\/td>\n5<\/td>\nD+4<\/td>\n51<\/td>\n42<\/td>\n7<\/td>\nD+9<\/td>\n1655<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
GENDER<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Men<\/td>\n45<\/td>\n44<\/td>\n11<\/td>\nD+1<\/td>\n43<\/td>\n53<\/td>\n4<\/td>\nR+10<\/td>\n43<\/td>\n49<\/td>\n8<\/td>\nR+6<\/td>\n917<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Women<\/td>\n51<\/td>\n37<\/td>\n13<\/td>\nD+14<\/td>\n55<\/td>\n40<\/td>\n5<\/td>\nD+15<\/td>\n59<\/td>\n35<\/td>\n7<\/td>\nD+24<\/td>\n738<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
RACE\/ETHNICITY<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
White, non-hispanic<\/td>\n40<\/td>\n48<\/td>\n13<\/td>\nR+8<\/td>\n41<\/td>\n54<\/td>\n5<\/td>\nR+13<\/td>\n42<\/td>\n51<\/td>\n7<\/td>\nR+9<\/td>\n1114<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Black, non-hispanic<\/td>\n90<\/td>\n3<\/td>\n7<\/td>\nD+87<\/td>\n96<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n3<\/td>\nD+95<\/td>\n91<\/td>\n7<\/td>\n3<\/td>\nD+84<\/td>\n146<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Hispanic<\/td>\n\u2013<\/td>\n\u2013<\/td>\n\u2013<\/td>\n\u2013<\/td>\n\u2013<\/td>\n\u2013<\/td>\n\u2013<\/td>\n\u2013<\/td>\n66<\/td>\n24<\/td>\n9<\/td>\nD+42<\/td>\n274<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
AGE<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
18-29<\/td>\n56<\/td>\n36<\/td>\n8<\/td>\nD+20<\/td>\n57<\/td>\n38<\/td>\n5<\/td>\nD+19<\/td>\n60<\/td>\n30<\/td>\n9<\/td>\nD+30<\/td>\n218<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
30-49<\/td>\n52<\/td>\n39<\/td>\n10<\/td>\nD+13<\/td>\n52<\/td>\n43<\/td>\n5<\/td>\nD+9<\/td>\n52<\/td>\n39<\/td>\n8<\/td>\nD+13<\/td>\n433<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
50-64<\/td>\n45<\/td>\n42<\/td>\n13<\/td>\nD+3<\/td>\n48<\/td>\n48<\/td>\n3<\/td>\neven<\/td>\n49<\/td>\n46<\/td>\n5<\/td>\nD+3<\/td>\n512<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
65+<\/td>\n37<\/td>\n44<\/td>\n19<\/td>\nR+7<\/td>\n43<\/td>\n52<\/td>\n5<\/td>\nR+9<\/td>\n46<\/td>\n49<\/td>\n5<\/td>\nR+3<\/td>\n467<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
AGE 2-WAY BY GENDER<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Men 18-49<\/td>\n49<\/td>\n41<\/td>\n10<\/td>\nD+8<\/td>\n47<\/td>\n48<\/td>\n6<\/td>\nR+1<\/td>\n49<\/td>\n42<\/td>\n9<\/td>\nD+7<\/td>\n394<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Women 18-49<\/td>\n58<\/td>\n34<\/td>\n8<\/td>\nD+24<\/td>\n60<\/td>\n36<\/td>\n5<\/td>\nD+24<\/td>\n62<\/td>\n30<\/td>\n9<\/td>\nD+32<\/td>\n257<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Men 50+<\/td>\n40<\/td>\n48<\/td>\n12<\/td>\nR+8<\/td>\n40<\/td>\n57<\/td>\n2<\/td>\nR+17<\/td>\n38<\/td>\n56<\/td>\n6<\/td>\nR+18<\/td>\n515<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Women 50+<\/td>\n43<\/td>\n39<\/td>\n18<\/td>\nD+4<\/td>\n51<\/td>\n43<\/td>\n5<\/td>\nD+8<\/td>\n57<\/td>\n39<\/td>\n5<\/td>\nD+18<\/td>\n464<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
YOUTH BY GENDER<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Men 18-34<\/td>\n52<\/td>\n37<\/td>\n11<\/td>\nD+15<\/td>\n51<\/td>\n44<\/td>\n5<\/td>\nD+7<\/td>\n51<\/td>\n40<\/td>\n10<\/td>\nD+11<\/td>\n334<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Women 18-34<\/td>\n59<\/td>\n34<\/td>\n6<\/td>\nD+25<\/td>\n66<\/td>\n32<\/td>\n3<\/td>\nD+34<\/td>\n69<\/td>\n25<\/td>\n6<\/td>\nD+44<\/td>\n212<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
MARITAL STATUS BY GENDER<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Married men<\/td>\n36<\/td>\n52<\/td>\n12<\/td>\nR+16<\/td>\n38<\/td>\n60<\/td>\n2<\/td>\nR+22<\/td>\n37<\/td>\n56<\/td>\n7<\/td>\nR+19<\/td>\n670<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Married women<\/td>\n46<\/td>\n42<\/td>\n12<\/td>\nD+4<\/td>\n47<\/td>\n47<\/td>\n6<\/td>\neven<\/td>\n53<\/td>\n41<\/td>\n5<\/td>\nD+12<\/td>\n482<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Unmarried men<\/td>\n57<\/td>\n33<\/td>\n10<\/td>\nD+24<\/td>\n51<\/td>\n43<\/td>\n6<\/td>\nD+8<\/td>\n51<\/td>\n42<\/td>\n8<\/td>\nD+9<\/td>\n595<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Unmarried women<\/td>\n56<\/td>\n30<\/td>\n14<\/td>\nD+26<\/td>\n65<\/td>\n31<\/td>\n4<\/td>\nD+34<\/td>\n65<\/td>\n28<\/td>\n7<\/td>\nD+37<\/td>\n498<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
EDUCATION<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Postgrad*<\/td>\n47<\/td>\n44<\/td>\n10<\/td>\nD+3<\/td>\n53<\/td>\n43<\/td>\n3<\/td>\nD+10<\/td>\n60<\/td>\n33<\/td>\n7<\/td>\nD+27<\/td>\n203<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
College grad<\/td>\n46<\/td>\n45<\/td>\n9<\/td>\nD+1<\/td>\n50<\/td>\n47<\/td>\n3<\/td>\nD+3<\/td>\n54<\/td>\n38<\/td>\n8<\/td>\nD+16<\/td>\n579<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Some college<\/td>\n48<\/td>\n41<\/td>\n11<\/td>\nD+7<\/td>\n49<\/td>\n47<\/td>\n4<\/td>\nD+2<\/td>\n47<\/td>\n46<\/td>\n8<\/td>\nD+1<\/td>\n470<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
HS or less<\/td>\n49<\/td>\n36<\/td>\n15<\/td>\nD+13<\/td>\n49<\/td>\n45<\/td>\n6<\/td>\nD+4<\/td>\n50<\/td>\n43<\/td>\n6<\/td>\nD+7<\/td>\n392<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
FAMILY INCOME<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
$100,000+<\/td>\n39<\/td>\n49<\/td>\n12<\/td>\nR+10<\/td>\n44<\/td>\n52<\/td>\n4<\/td>\nR+8<\/td>\n51<\/td>\n43<\/td>\n6<\/td>\nD+8<\/td>\n447<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
$75,000 to $99,000<\/td>\n47<\/td>\n45<\/td>\n8<\/td>\nD+2<\/td>\n50<\/td>\n47<\/td>\n4<\/td>\nD+3<\/td>\n46<\/td>\n46<\/td>\n8<\/td>\neven<\/td>\n190<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
$30,000 to $74,999<\/td>\n51<\/td>\n43<\/td>\n7<\/td>\nD+8<\/td>\n48<\/td>\n49<\/td>\n4<\/td>\nR+1<\/td>\n47<\/td>\n45<\/td>\n8<\/td>\nD+2<\/td>\n556<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<$30,000<\/td>\n56<\/td>\n29<\/td>\n15<\/td>\nD+27<\/td>\n59<\/td>\n35<\/td>\n7<\/td>\nD+24<\/td>\n62<\/td>\n33<\/td>\n5<\/td>\nD+29<\/td>\n288<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
LEANED PARTISANSHIP<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Republican\/ Lean Rep<\/td>\n11<\/td>\n81<\/td>\n8<\/td>\nR+70<\/td>\n9<\/td>\n88<\/td>\n3<\/td>\nR+79<\/td>\n8<\/td>\n85<\/td>\n6<\/td>\nR+77<\/td>\n734<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Democrat\/ Lean Dem<\/td>\n10<\/td>\n80<\/td>\n10<\/td>\nD+70<\/td>\n90<\/td>\n8<\/td>\n2<\/td>\nD+82<\/td>\n91<\/td>\n5<\/td>\n4<\/td>\nD+86<\/td>\n801<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
STRAIGHT PARTISANSHIP<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Republican<\/td>\n10<\/td>\n82<\/td>\n8<\/td>\nR+72<\/td>\n7<\/td>\n91<\/td>\n2<\/td>\nR+84<\/td>\n7<\/td>\n88<\/td>\n5<\/td>\nR+81<\/td>\n470<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Democrat<\/td>\n82<\/td>\n9<\/td>\n9<\/td>\nD+73<\/td>\n90<\/td>\n7<\/td>\n2<\/td>\nD+83<\/td>\n93<\/td>\n5<\/td>\n2<\/td>\nD+88<\/td>\n571<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Independent<\/td>\n42<\/td>\n41<\/td>\n18<\/td>\nD+1<\/td>\n44<\/td>\n49<\/td>\n8<\/td>\nR+5<\/td>\n45<\/td>\n42<\/td>\n13<\/td>\nD+3<\/td>\n544<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Lean Rep<\/td>\n14<\/td>\n78<\/td>\n8<\/td>\nR+64<\/td>\n11<\/td>\n84<\/td>\n5<\/td>\nR+73<\/td>\n10<\/td>\n81<\/td>\n9<\/td>\nR+71<\/td>\n264<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Lean Dem<\/td>\n74<\/td>\n15<\/td>\n11<\/td>\nD+59<\/td>\n89<\/td>\n9<\/td>\n2<\/td>\nD+80<\/td>\n87<\/td>\n6<\/td>\n7<\/td>\nD+81<\/td>\n230<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
PARTISANSHIP AND IDEOLOGY<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Conservative Reps<\/td>\n8<\/td>\n87<\/td>\n6<\/td>\nR+79<\/td>\n4<\/td>\n94<\/td>\n2<\/td>\nR+90<\/td>\n6<\/td>\n89<\/td>\n4<\/td>\nR+83<\/td>\n388<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Mod\/lib Reps<\/td>\n17<\/td>\n74<\/td>\n10<\/td>\nR+57<\/td>\n15<\/td>\n83<\/td>\n2<\/td>\nR+68<\/td>\n11<\/td>\n83<\/td>\n6<\/td>\nR+72<\/td>\n127<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Mod\/cons Dems<\/td>\n77<\/td>\n12<\/td>\n11<\/td>\nD+65<\/td>\n89<\/td>\n8<\/td>\n3<\/td>\nD+81<\/td>\n91<\/td>\n7<\/td>\n2<\/td>\nD+84<\/td>\n271<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Liberal Dems<\/td>\n92<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n5<\/td>\nD+90<\/td>\n95<\/td>\n4<\/td>\n2<\/td>\nD+91<\/td>\n95<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n2<\/td>\nD+93<\/td>\n288<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
REGION<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Northeast<\/td>\n48<\/td>\n38<\/td>\n15<\/td>\nD+10<\/td>\n57<\/td>\n40<\/td>\n3<\/td>\nD+17<\/td>\n61<\/td>\n33<\/td>\n5<\/td>\nD+28<\/td>\n269<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Midwest<\/td>\n46<\/td>\n41<\/td>\n12<\/td>\nD+5<\/td>\n51<\/td>\n45<\/td>\n4<\/td>\nD+6<\/td>\n46<\/td>\n45<\/td>\n9<\/td>\nD+1<\/td>\n340<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
South<\/td>\n47<\/td>\n42<\/td>\n12<\/td>\nD+5<\/td>\n44<\/td>\n50<\/td>\n6<\/td>\nR+6<\/td>\n48<\/td>\n46<\/td>\n7<\/td>\nD+2<\/td>\n647<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
West<\/td>\n52<\/td>\n38<\/td>\n11<\/td>\nD+14<\/td>\n51<\/td>\n44<\/td>\n5<\/td>\nD+7<\/td>\n53<\/td>\n39<\/td>\n7<\/td>\nD+14<\/td>\n399<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
AMONG NON-HISPANIC WHITES<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
ALL WHITE NON-HISPANIC<\/td>\n40<\/td>\n48<\/td>\n13<\/td>\nR+8<\/td>\n41<\/td>\n54<\/td>\n5<\/td>\nR+13<\/td>\n42<\/td>\n51<\/td>\n7<\/td>\nR+9<\/td>\n1114<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
GENDER<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
White NH men<\/td>\n35<\/td>\n53<\/td>\n12<\/td>\nR+18<\/td>\n38<\/td>\n59<\/td>\n3<\/td>\nR+21<\/td>\n33<\/td>\n59<\/td>\n8<\/td>\nR+26<\/td>\n628<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
White NH women<\/td>\n42<\/td>\n45<\/td>\n13<\/td>\nR+3<\/td>\n44<\/td>\n50<\/td>\n6<\/td>\nR+6<\/td>\n52<\/td>\n42<\/td>\n7<\/td>\nD+10<\/td>\n486<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
AGE 2-WAY<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
White NH 18-49<\/td>\n43<\/td>\n48<\/td>\n9<\/td>\nR+5<\/td>\n44<\/td>\n51<\/td>\n5<\/td>\nR+7<\/td>\n45<\/td>\n46<\/td>\n9<\/td>\nR+1<\/td>\n369<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
White NH 50+<\/td>\n36<\/td>\n50<\/td>\n15<\/td>\nR+14<\/td>\n39<\/td>\n56<\/td>\n6<\/td>\nR+17<\/td>\n40<\/td>\n55<\/td>\n5<\/td>\nR+15<\/td>\n733<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
AGE 2-WAY BY GENDER<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
White NH men 18-49<\/td>\n39<\/td>\n52<\/td>\n9<\/td>\nR+13<\/td>\n41<\/td>\n55<\/td>\n4<\/td>\nR+14<\/td>\n37<\/td>\n54<\/td>\n9<\/td>\nR+17<\/td>\n230<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
White NH women 18-49<\/td>\n47<\/td>\n44<\/td>\n9<\/td>\nD+3<\/td>\n46<\/td>\n48<\/td>\n6<\/td>\nR+2<\/td>\n54<\/td>\n37<\/td>\n9<\/td>\nD+17<\/td>\n139<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
White NH men 50+<\/td>\n32<\/td>\n54<\/td>\n12<\/td>\nR+22<\/td>\n36<\/td>\n62<\/td>\n2<\/td>\nR+26<\/td>\n30<\/td>\n64<\/td>\n6<\/td>\nR+34<\/td>\n394<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
White NH women 50+<\/td>\n38<\/td>\n46<\/td>\n16<\/td>\nR+8<\/td>\n42<\/td>\n52<\/td>\n5<\/td>\nR+10<\/td>\n50<\/td>\n45<\/td>\n4<\/td>\nD+5<\/td>\n339<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
EDUCATION 2-WAY<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
White NH Some coll or less<\/td>\n36<\/td>\n50<\/td>\n14<\/td>\nR+14<\/td>\n38<\/td>\n56<\/td>\n5<\/td>\nR+19<\/td>\n36<\/td>\n57<\/td>\n7<\/td>\nR+21<\/td>\n541<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
White NH college grad<\/td>\n41<\/td>\n50<\/td>\n9<\/td>\nR+9<\/td>\n46<\/td>\n51<\/td>\n3<\/td>\nR+5<\/td>\n52<\/td>\n40<\/td>\n8<\/td>\nD+12<\/td>\n570<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
EDUCATION 2-WAY BY GENDER<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
White NH College grad men<\/td>\n37<\/td>\n57<\/td>\n7<\/td>\nR+20<\/td>\n43<\/td>\n54<\/td>\n3<\/td>\nR+11<\/td>\n42<\/td>\n49<\/td>\n9<\/td>\nR+7<\/td>\n329<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
White NH College grad women<\/td>\n46<\/td>\n43<\/td>\n11<\/td>\nD+3<\/td>\n49<\/td>\n48<\/td>\n3<\/td>\nD+1<\/td>\n62<\/td>\n31<\/td>\n7<\/td>\nD+31<\/td>\n241<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
White NH Some coll or less men<\/td>\n34<\/td>\n51<\/td>\n13<\/td>\nR+17<\/td>\n35<\/td>\n62<\/td>\n3<\/td>\nR+27<\/td>\n28<\/td>\n65<\/td>\n7<\/td>\nR+37<\/td>\n299<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
White NH Some coll or less women<\/td>\n40<\/td>\n46<\/td>\n14<\/td>\nR+6<\/td>\n40<\/td>\n52<\/td>\n8<\/td>\nR+12<\/td>\n45<\/td>\n48<\/td>\n6<\/td>\nR+3<\/td>\n242<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n\n

Notes: Based on registered voters. Whites and blacks include only those who are not Hispanic; Hispanics are of any race. In 2008 and 2012 there was insufficient sample size to report on Hispanics. In 2008, postgrad include those with some postgraduate experience but no degree; 2012-2016 includes only those with a postgraduate degree. Q10\/10a.\nSource: Survey conducted June 15-26, 2016.<\/p>\n\n

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