{"id":25179,"date":"2011-01-04T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2011-01-04T05:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/2011\/01\/04\/six-telling-findings-from-the-iowa-caucuses\/"},"modified":"2024-04-14T03:51:59","modified_gmt":"2024-04-14T08:51:59","slug":"six-telling-findings-from-the-iowa-caucuses","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/politics\/2011\/01\/04\/six-telling-findings-from-the-iowa-caucuses\/","title":{"rendered":"Six Telling Findings from the Iowa Caucuses"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>[if gte mso 9]<\/p>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"> \/* Style Definitions *\/<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"> table.MsoNormalTable<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\t{mso-style-name:&#8221;Table Normal&#8221;;<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\tmso-tstyle-rowband-size:0;<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\tmso-tstyle-colband-size:0;<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\tmso-style-noshow:yes;<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\tmso-style-priority:99;<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\tmso-style-parent:&#8221;&#8221;;<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\tmso-padding-alt:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\tmso-para-margin:0in;<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\tmso-para-margin-bottom:.0001pt;<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\tmso-pagination:widow-orphan;<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\tfont-size:10.0pt;<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\tfont-family:&#8221;Times New Roman&#8221;,&#8221;serif&#8221;;}<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">caucuses that may &#8212; \u00a0or may not \u2013 prove to be important as the<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">GOP race moves on to New Hampshire and beyond.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Romney Gets 1% of &#8220;True Conservative&#8221; Voters.<\/strong> A quarter of Iowa caucus voters said the most important candidate quality was that they be a &#8220;true conservative.&#8221; Among these voters, just 1% supported Romney; 37% backed Paul and 36% supported Santorum.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Number of Late Deciders Spikes.<\/strong> Nearly half of Iowa caucus voters (46%) said they decided their vote on the day of the caucuses or in the days leading up to them. Four years ago, 30% said they decided on the day of the voting or in the three days before. Santorum won about a third of the votes from late deciders, more than any other candidate.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>The Issue Divides.<\/strong> Just 13% said that abortion was the most important issue in choosing a candidate; these voters overwhelmingly backed Santorum. Far more Iowa caucus voters rated the economy (42%) and budget deficit (34%) as most important: The former group supported Romney, while deficit hawks supported Paul.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>More Independents.<\/strong> Independents comprised nearly a quarter (23%) of GOP caucus voters, up from 13% four years ago. As was the case in 2008, roughly six-in-ten caucus voters were white evangelicals.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Republicans Split Their Votes.<\/strong> Three-quarters of caucus voters were Republicans and they split their votes almost evenly between Santorum (29%) and Romney (27%). Paul drew a sizable plurality (43%) among self-described independents.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Tea Party vs. Non-Tea Party.<\/strong> Santorum led Romney by 11 points among Tea Party Republicans (and by 19 points among strong GOP supporters of the movement). By contrast, Romney led Santorum by a wide margin (39% to 21%) among non-Tea Party Republicans.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u00a0<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Iowa caucuses produced six small but significant indicators of the dynamics that drove the 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