{"id":24784,"date":"2015-01-23T10:41:37","date_gmt":"2015-01-23T15:41:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/2015\/01\/23\/2016s-legacy-front-runners\/"},"modified":"2024-04-14T00:04:02","modified_gmt":"2024-04-14T05:04:02","slug":"2016s-legacy-front-runners","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/politics\/2015\/01\/23\/2016s-legacy-front-runners\/","title":{"rendered":"What\u2019s in a Name? A Look at 2016\u2019s Legacy Front-Runners"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>By Andrew Kohut, Founding Director, Pew Research Center<\/em><\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Special to <a href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/posteverything\/wp\/2015\/01\/23\/why-putting-a-bush-or-clinton-back-in-the-white-house-could-be-harder-than-you-think\/\">The Washington Post<\/a>.\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The 2016 presidential campaign, now in full swing in the media and the political class, starts with a fundamental question: How can American voters, who are so dissatisfied with Washington politics and the state of the nation, name the wife of one former president, and the son and brother of two others as top candidates for the White House?<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">National dissatisfaction is at a dismal 68 percent, and Americans\u2019 confidence in their government has been in steady decline for years. And yet, voters seem prepared to put two familiar names \u2014 Bush and Clinton \u2014 back at the helm.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In recent polls, Hillary Clinton led the Democratic field by an average 49.5 percentage points, according to Real Clear Politics. And Jeb Bush led the crowded GOP field by an average 5.8 percentage points, when Mitt Romney is taken out of consideration. (When Romney\u2019s name is included, he becomes the top choice of the Republicans by an average 8.8 percentage points, and Bush slips into second.)<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Though neither has officially declared candidacy, Hillary Clinton and Jeb Bush would share a common challenge on the campaign trail:\u00a0How will the legacies of their familial predecessors effect their chances of winning the election?<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><em style=\"line-height: 1.5;\">Read <\/em><em style=\"line-height: 1.5;\">more at<\/em><em style=\"line-height: 1.5;\">\u00a0<\/em><a style=\"line-height: 1.5;\" href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/posteverything\/wp\/2015\/01\/23\/why-putting-a-bush-or-clinton-back-in-the-white-house-could-be-harder-than-you-think\/\"><em>The Washington Post<\/em><\/a><em>.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By Andrew Kohut, Founding Director, Pew Research Center Special to The Washington Post.\u00a0 The 2016 presidential campaign, now in full swing in the media and the political class, starts with a fundamental question: How can American voters, who are so dissatisfied with Washington politics and the state of the nation, name the wife of one [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":86,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sub_headline":"","sub_title":"","_prc_public_revisions":[],"_ppp_expiration_hours":0,"_ppp_enabled":false,"ai_generated_summary":"","relatedPosts":[],"reportMaterials":[],"multiSectionReport":[],"package_parts__enabled":false,"package_parts":[],"datacite_doi":"","datacite_doi_citation":"","_prc_seo_qr_attachment_id":0,"spoken_article_player_enabled":true,"displayBylines":true,"footnotes":"","prc_watchers":[],"_prc_fork_parent":0,"_prc_fork_status":"","_prc_active_fork":0},"categories":[67,39],"tags":[],"bylines":[863],"collection":[],"datasets":[],"level_of_effort":[],"primary_audience":[],"information_type":[],"_post_visibility":[],"formats":[458],"_fund_pool":[],"languages":[],"regions-countries":[515],"research-teams":[520],"workflow-status":[],"class_list":["post-24784","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-presidential-approval","category-us-elections-voters","bylines-andrew-kohut-1942-2015","formats-report","regions-countries-united-states","research-teams-politics"],"label":false,"post_parent":0,"word_count":213,"canonical_url":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/politics\/2015\/01\/23\/2016s-legacy-front-runners\/","art_direction":{"A1":{"id":32689,"rawUrl":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2015\/01\/1-23-2015-12-31-01-PM.png","url":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2015\/01\/1-23-2015-12-31-01-PM.png?w=538&h=317&crop=1","width":538,"height":317,"chartArt":false},"A2":{"id":32689,"rawUrl":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2015\/01\/1-23-2015-12-31-01-PM.png","url":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2015\/01\/1-23-2015-12-31-01-PM.png?w=268&h=151&crop=1","width":268,"height":151,"chartArt":false},"A3":{"id":32689,"rawUrl":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2015\/01\/1-23-2015-12-31-01-PM.png","url":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2015\/01\/1-23-2015-12-31-01-PM.png?w=194&h=110&crop=1","width":194,"height":110,"chartArt":false},"A4":{"id":32689,"rawUrl":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2015\/01\/1-23-2015-12-31-01-PM.png","url":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2015\/01\/1-23-2015-12-31-01-PM.png?w=268&h=151&crop=1","width":268,"height":151,"chartArt":false},"XL":{"id":32689,"rawUrl":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2015\/01\/1-23-2015-12-31-01-PM.png","url":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2015\/01\/1-23-2015-12-31-01-PM.png?w=538&h=396&crop=1","width":538,"height":396,"chartArt":false},"social":{"id":32689,"rawUrl":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2015\/01\/1-23-2015-12-31-01-PM.png","url":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2015\/01\/1-23-2015-12-31-01-PM.png?w=538&h=396&crop=1","width":538,"height":396,"chartArt":false}},"_embeds":[],"watchers":[],"table_of_contents":[],"report_materials":"","report_pagination":{"current_post":null,"next_post":null,"previous_post":null,"pagination_items":[]},"parent_info":{"parent_title":"What\u2019s in a Name? 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