{"id":189125,"date":"2024-10-10T13:58:56","date_gmt":"2024-10-10T18:00:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/?p=189125"},"modified":"2026-03-04T13:06:28","modified_gmt":"2026-03-04T18:06:28","slug":"expectations-about-harris-and-trump-as-president","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/politics\/2024\/10\/10\/expectations-about-harris-and-trump-as-president\/","title":{"rendered":"2. Expectations about Harris and Trump as president"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Voters overall are divided in their predictions about how Vice President Kamala Harris or former President Donald Trump would perform as president \u2013 with negative expectations outweighing positive ones for both candidates. And while majorities of voters see both Trump and Harris as bringing change to Washington \u2013 though more say this about Trump than Harris \u2013 they are also split over whether that change would have positive or negative effects.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 data-is-section=\"true\" data-wp-context=\"{&quot;id&quot;:&quot;would-trump-and-harris-be-above-or-below-average-presidents&quot;}\" data-wp-interactive=\"{&quot;namespace&quot;:&quot;prc-block\\\/table-of-contents&quot;}\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"would-trump-and-harris-be-above-or-below-average-presidents\">Would Trump and Harris be above or below average presidents?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image alignright size-420-wide\"><a href=\"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/?attachment_id=189165\"><img data-dominant-color=\"e8e4df\" data-has-transparency=\"false\" style=\"--dominant-color: #e8e4df;\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\"  srcset=\"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/10\/PP_2024.10.10_pre-election-attitudes_2-01.png?resize=480,442 480w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/10\/PP_2024.10.10_pre-election-attitudes_2-01.png?resize=782,721 782w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/10\/PP_2024.10.10_pre-election-attitudes_2-01.png?resize=840,774 840w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 480px) 480px, (max-width: 782px) 782px, 640px\" height=\"387\" width=\"420\" src=\"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/10\/PP_2024.10.10_pre-election-attitudes_2-01.png?w=420\" alt=\"Voters\u2019 predictions for a Harris or Trump presidency\" class=\"wp-image-189165 not-transparent\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Voters are more likely to say each of the presidential candidates would be poor or terrible presidents than to say they would be good or great at the job.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">More voters today say Trump would be a \u201cgood\u201d or \u201cgreat\u201d president than say this about Harris (41% vs. 36%). But similar shares of voters say each would be a \u201cpoor\u201d or \u201cterrible\u201d president (48% say this about Trump, 46% about Harris).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Views of a potential second Trump presidency are more polarized than views of a potential Harris presidency: Voters are more likely to say Trump would be great than to say this about Harris (22% vs. 14%). But they\u2019re also more likely to say Trump would be terrible (38%) than to say the same for Harris (32%). Voters are more likely to predict Harris would be an \u201caverage\u201d president (18% say this about her, 11% about him).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 id=\"supporters-views-of-their-candidate\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">Supporters\u2019 views of their candidate<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">While most supporters of both candidates offer positive predictions about how their candidate would perform as president, Trump supporters are more likely to say a potential Trump presidency would be good or great than Harris\u2019 supporters are to say this about her.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>84% of Trump supporters say he would be a good or great president, including 46% who say he would be great. Just 13% say he\u2019d be an average president.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>73% of Harris supporters say that she would be a good (44%) or great (29%) president, while 24% say she\u2019d be an average president.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Very small shares of each candidate\u2019s supporters (just 2% each) say their candidate would be a poor or terrible president.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 id=\"supporters-views-of-the-opposing-candidate\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">Supporters\u2019 views of the opposing candidate<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">About nine-in-ten among both Harris supporters (91%) and Trump supporters (89%) predict that the opposing candidate would be a poor or terrible president. Harris supporters are particularly likely to say Trump would be a terrible president (76% say this). By comparison, 67% of Trump supporters predict Harris would be terrible.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 data-is-section=\"true\" data-wp-context=\"{&quot;id&quot;:&quot;who-would-bring-change-for-good-or-bad-to-washington&quot;}\" data-wp-interactive=\"{&quot;namespace&quot;:&quot;prc-block\\\/table-of-contents&quot;}\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"who-would-bring-change-for-good-or-bad-to-washington\">Who would bring change \u2013 for good or bad \u2013 to Washington<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image alignright size-420-wide\"><a href=\"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/?attachment_id=189166\"><img data-dominant-color=\"dfdad0\" data-has-transparency=\"false\" style=\"--dominant-color: #dfdad0;\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\"  srcset=\"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/10\/PP_2024.10.10_pre-election-attitudes_2-02.png?resize=480,659 480w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/10\/PP_2024.10.10_pre-election-attitudes_2-02.png?resize=782,1074 782w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/10\/PP_2024.10.10_pre-election-attitudes_2-02.png?resize=840,1154 840w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 480px) 480px, (max-width: 782px) 782px, 640px\" height=\"577\" width=\"420\" src=\"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/10\/PP_2024.10.10_pre-election-attitudes_2-02.png?w=420\" alt=\"Most voters say Trump will change Washington but are split over whether that will be good or bad\" class=\"wp-image-189166 not-transparent\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">An overwhelming majority of registered voters say that Trump would change the way things work in Washington, but they are fairly divided over whether that change would be for the better or for the worse.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">While 41% say Trump would change things for the better, a somewhat larger share (48%) say he would change things for the worse. Relatively few (10%) say that he would not change things much either way.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In contrast, three-in-ten voters say Harris would not change things much either way in Washington, while 41% say she would change things for the worse and 29% say she would change things for the better.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Harris and Trump supporters have different opinions on whether their candidate would change the way things work in Washington:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>40% of Harris supporters say that Harris would not change the way things work much in Washington, while 59% say she\u2019d change things for the better.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>86% of Trump supporters say Trump would change things for the better. Just 12% say he would not change things much.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Overwhelming shares of both Harris (92%) and Trump (83%) supporters say the opposing candidate would change things in Washington for the worse. But Trump supporters are more likely to say Harris would not change things much (16%) than Harris supporters are to say this about Trump (6%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 data-is-section=\"true\" data-wp-context=\"{&quot;id&quot;:&quot;harris-presidency-biden-s-policies-versus-a-new-direction&quot;}\" data-wp-interactive=\"{&quot;namespace&quot;:&quot;prc-block\\\/table-of-contents&quot;}\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"harris-presidency-biden-s-policies-versus-a-new-direction\">Harris presidency: Biden\u2019s policies versus a new direction<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Nearly six-in-ten voters (58%) expect Harris to continue President Joe Biden\u2019s policies, while about four-in-ten (41%) expect her to take the country in a different direction.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Among the 58% who say Harris would continue Biden\u2019s policies, far more say this would be a bad thing (41%) than say it would be a good thing (16%).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Those who say she\u2019ll take the country in a different direction are more likely to say this would be good (30%) than bad (10%).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-640-wide\"><a href=\"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/?attachment_id=189167\"><img data-dominant-color=\"f0efec\" data-has-transparency=\"false\" style=\"--dominant-color: #f0efec;\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\"  srcset=\"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/10\/PP_2024.10.10_pre-election-attitudes_2-03.png?resize=480,269 480w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/10\/PP_2024.10.10_pre-election-attitudes_2-03.png?resize=782,437 782w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/10\/PP_2024.10.10_pre-election-attitudes_2-03.png?resize=960,537 960w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/10\/PP_2024.10.10_pre-election-attitudes_2-03.png?resize=1200,671 1200w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/10\/PP_2024.10.10_pre-election-attitudes_2-03.png?resize=1280,716 1280w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 480px) 480px, (max-width: 782px) 782px, 640px\" height=\"358\" width=\"640\" src=\"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/10\/PP_2024.10.10_pre-election-attitudes_2-03.png?w=640\" alt=\"Most voters say Harris would continue Biden\u2019s policies\" class=\"wp-image-189167 not-transparent\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h4 id=\"harris-supporters\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">Harris supporters<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">More than half of Harris supporters (58%) say she would take the country in a different direction \u2013 and they nearly unanimously view this course positively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">About four-in-ten Harris supporters (41%) say that she would continue Biden\u2019s policies and most of this group (33%) say doing so would be a good thing for the country.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 id=\"trump-supporters\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">Trump supporters<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Conversely, an overwhelming majority of Trump supporters (76%) say Harris would continue Biden\u2019s policies \u2013 and this group nearly unanimously sees that as bad for the country. Only about a quarter of Trump supporters (23%) say Harris would take the country in a different direction \u2013 and most of this group (19%) say that would be a bad thing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"have-harris-and-trump-clearly-explained-their-views-on-issues\">Have Harris and Trump clearly explained their views on issues?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">When it comes to several major issues, voters are fairly divided on whether the candidates have clearly explained their policies and plans, with two notable exceptions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>75% of all voters say Harris has clearly outlined her views on abortion, including 93% of her supporters and 59% of Trump backers. About six-in-ten voters (61%) also say Trump has been clear about his views on abortion.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>70% of all voters say Trump has clearly explained his policies and plans for addressing illegal immigration. Nearly all of his supporters (94%) and about half of Harris\u2019 supporters (48%) say Trump has been clear about his plans on this issue.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-640-wide\"><a href=\"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/?attachment_id=189168\"><img data-dominant-color=\"f3f2f1\" data-has-transparency=\"false\" style=\"--dominant-color: #f3f2f1;\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\"  srcset=\"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/10\/PP_2024.10.10_pre-election-attitudes_2-04.png?resize=480,377 480w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/10\/PP_2024.10.10_pre-election-attitudes_2-04.png?resize=782,615 782w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/10\/PP_2024.10.10_pre-election-attitudes_2-04.png?resize=960,755 960w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/10\/PP_2024.10.10_pre-election-attitudes_2-04.png?resize=1200,943 1200w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/10\/PP_2024.10.10_pre-election-attitudes_2-04.png?resize=1280,1006 1280w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 480px) 480px, (max-width: 782px) 782px, 640px\" height=\"503\" width=\"640\" src=\"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/10\/PP_2024.10.10_pre-election-attitudes_2-04.png?w=640\" alt=\"Most voters say both candidates have made their abortion policies and plans clear, and that Trump has been clear about his plans for addressing illegal immigration\" class=\"wp-image-189168 not-transparent\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">At least half of each candidate\u2019s supporters say their candidate has clearly outlined their policies and plans for each of the policy domains asked about in the survey. But no more than a quarter of each candidate\u2019s supporters say the other candidate has been clear about their policies and plans \u2013 with the exceptions of both candidates\u2019 abortion policies and Trump\u2019s policies on immigration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Trump supporters are somewhat more likely than Harris\u2019 to say their candidate has been clear on issues, while also being less likely to say the candidate that they oppose has clearly outlined their positions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 data-is-section=\"true\" data-wp-context=\"{&quot;id&quot;:&quot;addressing-the-concerns-of-supporters-versus-all-americans&quot;}\" data-wp-interactive=\"{&quot;namespace&quot;:&quot;prc-block\\\/table-of-contents&quot;}\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"addressing-the-concerns-of-supporters-versus-all-americans\">Addressing the concerns of supporters versus all Americans<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image alignright size-420-wide\"><a href=\"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/?attachment_id=189169\"><img data-dominant-color=\"edeae1\" data-has-transparency=\"false\" style=\"--dominant-color: #edeae1;\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\"  srcset=\"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/10\/PP_2024.10.10_pre-election-attitudes_2-05.png?resize=480,394 480w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/10\/PP_2024.10.10_pre-election-attitudes_2-05.png?resize=782,642 782w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/10\/PP_2024.10.10_pre-election-attitudes_2-05.png?resize=840,690 840w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 480px) 480px, (max-width: 782px) 782px, 640px\" height=\"345\" width=\"420\" src=\"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/10\/PP_2024.10.10_pre-election-attitudes_2-05.png?w=420\" alt=\"Vast majority of voters say the candidates should address the concerns of all Americans\" class=\"wp-image-189169 not-transparent\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Both Harris (89%) and Trump (86%) supporters overwhelmingly say that, if their candidate is elected, they should focus on addressing the concerns of all Americans \u2013 even if it means that some of their supporters will be disappointed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Only 10% of Harris supporters and 14% of Trump supporters say that their candidate should focus primarily on the concerns of those who voted for them without worrying too much about the concerns of those who did not.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">These opinions closely mirror those of <a href=\"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/politics\/2020\/10\/09\/voters-feelings-about-the-election-and-possible-outcomes\/\">Biden and Trump supporters in 2020<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 data-is-section=\"true\" data-wp-context=\"{&quot;id&quot;:&quot;views-of-whether-the-next-president-will-work-with-the-opposing-party&quot;}\" data-wp-interactive=\"{&quot;namespace&quot;:&quot;prc-block\\\/table-of-contents&quot;}\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"views-of-whether-the-next-president-will-work-with-the-opposing-party\">Views of whether the next president will work with the opposing party<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image alignright size-420-wide\"><a href=\"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/?attachment_id=189170\"><img data-dominant-color=\"efece2\" data-has-transparency=\"false\" style=\"--dominant-color: #efece2;\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\"  srcset=\"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/10\/PP_2024.10.10_pre-election-attitudes_2-06.png?resize=480,581 480w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/10\/PP_2024.10.10_pre-election-attitudes_2-06.png?resize=782,946 782w, https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/10\/PP_2024.10.10_pre-election-attitudes_2-06.png?resize=840,1016 840w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 480px) 480px, (max-width: 782px) 782px, 640px\" height=\"508\" width=\"420\" src=\"https:\/\/alpha.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/10\/PP_2024.10.10_pre-election-attitudes_2-06.png?w=420\" alt=\"Voters\u2019 views on whether Harris and Trump, if they win the election, will work with the opposing party\" class=\"wp-image-189170 not-transparent\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A 55% majority of voters say it is likely that Harris will work with Republicans in Washington if she wins. A much smaller share (37%) say it is likely Trump will work with Democrats if he wins.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Majorities of each candidate\u2019s supporters believe it is at least somewhat likely that their candidate will work with the opposition on important issues facing the country:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>91% of Harris supporters believe it is very or somewhat likely she will work with Republicans in Washington if she wins, including 38% who say this is very likely.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>70% of Trump\u2019s supporters think he\u2019d be at least somewhat likely to work with Democrats if he wins. Just 19% say this is very likely.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In 2016 \u2013 the last time this question was asked leading up to an election \u2013 voters were more likely than they are today to say Trump would work with Democrats if he won (45% said this was at least somewhat likely).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Voters\u2019 assessments about whether Harris would work with Republicans are on par with their beliefs about a potential victory for Hillary Clinton in 2016.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Voters overall are divided in their predictions about how Vice President Kamala Harris or former President Donald Trump would perform as president \u2013 with negative expectations outweighing positive ones for both candidates. 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